Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state (user search)
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  Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state  (Read 5379 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: October 09, 2017, 10:34:52 PM »

High turnout among Latinos, very strong performance in the cities/suburbs (Clinton's margins or better in Houston/Dallas, plus winning counties like Hays, Tarrant, and Williamson), along with at least marginal improvement in the Eastern part of the state.

Ohio
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2017, 11:35:48 PM »

Run against a Republican seen as both elitist/out-of-touch and virulently racist. Work to get turnout among black voters way up, while trying to win over at least a small percentage of WWC voters. Then, a "true conservative" third-party candidate would need to get at least 3-4% of the vote.

Florida

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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2017, 07:51:32 PM »

Run a populist campaign against an unpopular candidate with strong ties to Wall Street. You'd need really strong margins in the NW, and you'd also need to improve on Clinton's numbers in Marion and Hamilton. Also, work on flipping back counties like Vigo and Delaware.

Iowa
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2017, 12:47:55 PM »

Get high Latino turnout, win Maricopa by at least 2%, and run up the margin in Tuscon.

North Carolina
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,299
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #4 on: January 31, 2018, 12:16:32 AM »

MB didn't list a state, so I'll say Indiana
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