Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state
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  Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state
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Author Topic: Describe the previous poster's path to victory in a certain state  (Read 5381 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« Reply #50 on: October 28, 2017, 06:00:06 PM »

win Missoula by.   35, and have a 3rd party getting 12%. get heavy margins in native areas

Alaska
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SamTilden2020
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« Reply #51 on: October 28, 2017, 06:23:57 PM »

Maximize margains in West AK, win Anchorage

Maine
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #52 on: October 28, 2017, 06:26:32 PM »

Tell people Samuel Tilden would want the good people of Maine to vote for you

Kansas
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #53 on: October 28, 2017, 08:15:22 PM »

win the 3rd cd by 9 2nd by 3, while keeping KS-04 within 10 points and the 1st down to 40

Pennsylvania
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #54 on: October 28, 2017, 09:59:59 PM »

Run a pro-labor campaign and get union workers to back you, you should carry PA by a decent margin.

Kentucky + West Virginia
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tallguy23
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« Reply #55 on: November 03, 2017, 05:06:51 PM »

Run an economic populist campaign with moderate/conservative views on guns, God, and abortion.
Make it about good governance and better jobs for the working/middle class.

Ohio.

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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #56 on: November 03, 2017, 09:50:50 PM »

ditto what you said above plus some pandering to blacks and you should be set

Iowa
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Sirius_
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« Reply #57 on: November 04, 2017, 12:06:32 PM »

Ditto except for the black pandering.

Texas
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The Govanah Jake
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« Reply #58 on: November 04, 2017, 01:47:04 PM »

limit margins for dem in Connecticut river valley to 55%, win Hillsborough by 5

Since you didn't tell of any state: Texas



Basically this. Win massive margins in the poorer Hispanic Rio Grande as always while getting over 70% in Tarrant, over 60% in Harris, over 65% in Dallas, while winning the surrounding county's and county's that where closer in 2012-2016.

Arizona



Basically this though you probably would do better with the minority populations (specifically Blacks) so it would be easier.

Alabama
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #59 on: November 04, 2017, 06:14:17 PM »

[pageview url='https://uselectionatlas.org/INC/if_county_map.php?year=2012&off=50&elect=0&fips=1&evt=&type=map&pty=0' width='530px' height='4

this, plus better margins

Misourri
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #60 on: December 03, 2017, 11:28:06 PM »

Get the Obama '08 map, but flip Clay and Adair counties too.

Indiana
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West_Midlander
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« Reply #61 on: January 28, 2018, 08:23:59 PM »

Improve D share in Lake County, Marion County and Monroe County to around 70%.

Focus on increasing D share/turnout in other D county (there's only one other D county).
     Increasing margin to 60% in St. Joseph County.

Focus on turning or getting 5-10% R margin counties closer. Mostly in the North of the state.
     Win La Porte, Porter, Delaware, Tippecanoe counties with 55%.

GOTV and increase D turnout in Lake, Marion, Monroe Counties by 10+%.

Close the gap in Starke Co (blue in 2008). Close the gap in Madison Co (blue in '08). Close the gap in Vigo, Vermilion Counties (blue in '08). Close the gap in Spencer, Perry and Vanderburgh Counties (blue in '08). Tie in Allen County. Obama got 47% here in 2008. Get to 45% in Hamilton Co.

Most "tie" counties were close in '08. Tie in Elkhart Co. Sweep up moderates, cutting Johnson % in 2016 down to 2012 levels. Tie up Hendricks Co. Tie in Clark Co. Tie in Johnson Co. Tie in Howard Co.

Tie in Floyd Co. Tie in Bartholomew Co. Tie in Wayne Co. Tie in Warrick Co. Tie in Hancock Co. Tie in Grant Co. Tie in Morgan Co. Tie in Henry Co.

Based on 2016 results. Should result in D+2,631 votes.

Mississippi
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
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« Reply #62 on: January 29, 2018, 10:43:52 AM »

Improve D share in Lake County, Marion County and Monroe County to around 70%.

Focus on increasing D share/turnout in other D county (there's only one other D county).
     Increasing margin to 60% in St. Joseph County.

Focus on turning or getting 5-10% R margin counties closer. Mostly in the North of the state.
     Win La Porte, Porter, Delaware, Tippecanoe counties with 55%.

GOTV and increase D turnout in Lake, Marion, Monroe Counties by 10+%.

Close the gap in Starke Co (blue in 2008). Close the gap in Madison Co (blue in '08). Close the gap in Vigo, Vermilion Counties (blue in '08). Close the gap in Spencer, Perry and Vanderburgh Counties (blue in '08). Tie in Allen County. Obama got 47% here in 2008. Get to 45% in Hamilton Co.

Most "tie" counties were close in '08. Tie in Elkhart Co. Sweep up moderates, cutting Johnson % in 2016 down to 2012 levels. Tie up Hendricks Co. Tie in Clark Co. Tie in Johnson Co. Tie in Howard Co.

Tie in Floyd Co. Tie in Bartholomew Co. Tie in Wayne Co. Tie in Warrick Co. Tie in Hancock Co. Tie in Grant Co. Tie in Morgan Co. Tie in Henry Co.

Based on 2016 results. Should result in D+2,631 votes.

Mississippi

Would have to get incredibly high black turnout like the special election in Alabama and get at least 13 % of the white vote.
Wisconsin
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Not_Madigan
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« Reply #63 on: January 29, 2018, 11:40:05 AM »

Run up the numbers in Madison and Milwaukee while doing well in Southwestern WI, along with keeping Brown County within 5.

Maryland
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #64 on: January 29, 2018, 06:15:55 PM »

Probably basically the Hogan 2014 map if you run as a Republican.

New Mexico
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #65 on: January 29, 2018, 06:53:57 PM »

Moderate your positions a bit - focus on economic issues, fiscal responsibility, and run against an unpopular Democrat, maybe with a moderate Latino running mate (if this is a gov/presidential election). Keep southern/eastern turnout high and maybe you can pull a Bush '04.
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Xing
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« Reply #66 on: January 31, 2018, 12:16:32 AM »

MB didn't list a state, so I'll say Indiana
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TexArkana
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« Reply #67 on: January 31, 2018, 01:38:12 PM »

Get huge turnout and margins out of Gary and Porter, Tippecanoe, and Delaware, do better than usual in the more backwoods parts of the state while almost winning Hamilton County.






West Virginia
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fhtagn
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« Reply #68 on: January 31, 2018, 01:48:55 PM »

Kiss up to coal country, talk about bringing jobs, and run on any conservative-leaning social issues.

Utah
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RFayette
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« Reply #69 on: January 31, 2018, 04:59:23 PM »

Emphasize economic issues and run as a Republican, downplaying any social views that might offend Mormons.  Rack up big margins in SLC, Park City, and Moab while trying to keep margins from being that awful in Provo. 
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KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸
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« Reply #70 on: January 31, 2018, 05:22:28 PM »

You didn't say a state.

Vermont
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RFayette
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« Reply #71 on: February 01, 2018, 12:28:50 PM »

Have a left-wing 3rd party and a very scandal-ridden Democrat.  Emphasize moderate stances on social issues and a pragmatic economic vision, squeaking out a plurality.

Colorado
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TexArkana
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« Reply #72 on: February 01, 2018, 10:04:56 PM »

Get big turnout out from evangelicals and do better with Hispanics than Trump did - fairly easy since Colorado is still a swing-ish state.








Wyoming
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Dr. MB
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« Reply #73 on: February 01, 2018, 10:39:24 PM »

Run against a split GOP ticket. Either that or you're the Republican nominee, or Wyoming experiences a huge influx of Californians.

Kentucky
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TexArkana
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« Reply #74 on: February 02, 2018, 01:33:39 AM »

This is another fairly easy one, despite Kentucky being solidly Republican. Run on a populist message focusing on jobs, healthcare, and benefits for coal miners while de-emphasizing social issues and painting your (presumably) Republican opponent as being bad for coal miners and the rural poor in KY.


Montana
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