Clinton vs Cruz

[Maxwell]

Cruz would not lose Montana, and I think even Arizona and Missouri are a stretch.

[Maxwell]

Polarization is definitely a thing but it breaks down when people don't turn out, and I think a lot of Republicans wouldn't vote if Cruz is the nominee.

I think that's true to a small extent, but I don't think there are that many ACTUAL GOP voters who would bail on Cruz. Obviously some people here and some people on the TV would be hesitant, but Cruz would largely get real GOP voters and probably amp up turnout for others.