New Zealand political discussion thread

[Mike88]

First polls after the Christchurch shootings:

1 News Colmar Brunton poll(compared with the February poll)

48% Labour (+3)
40% National (-2)
  6% Green (nc)
  4% NSF (+1)
  1% ACT (nc)
  1% Others (nc)

Business NZ Reid Research poll (compared with the February poll)

49.6% Labour (+2.1)
41.3% National (-0.3)
  3.9% Green (-1.2)
  2.3% NZF (-0.6)
  2.9% Others

[Mike88]

Latest poll shows NZ Labour at their lowest for a while, and a modest National "new leader" boost.

Which one?

I assume it's the Roy Morgan poll, right? 36% to Labour, 26.5% to the Nationals and 17.5% for the ACT.

[Mike88]

Who is the favourite to win the Labour leadership ballot?

The wiki page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_New_Zealand_Labour_Party_leadership_election

[Mike88]

Who is the favourite to win the Labour leadership ballot?

The wiki page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_New_Zealand_Labour_Party_leadership_election

Chris Hipkins, the former Covid minister. If it goes to a membership vote Michael Wood (who got the FPAs through) might have a shot. And Grant Robertson would be the inevitable choice if he had run.

I understand that a candidate needs 2/3 of the MPs votes to be elected leader. Does Hipkins have the votes or a membership ballot is inevitable?