Assuming Clinton can only seriously compete in one Romney 2012 state....
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 06, 2024, 03:08:41 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Assuming Clinton can only seriously compete in one Romney 2012 state....
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ...ASIDE from NC, which should she target?
#1
Georgia
 
#2
Arizona
 
#3
Indiana
 
#4
Missouri
 
#5
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 88

Author Topic: Assuming Clinton can only seriously compete in one Romney 2012 state....  (Read 1245 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 06, 2016, 09:51:02 PM »

I vote Arizona
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2016, 09:52:24 PM »

Yeah, its Arizona. Though good luck getting those suburban whites in the Phoenix  metro to vote for Hillary (since that's what she needs).
Logged
MasterJedi
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,668
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 06, 2016, 09:52:48 PM »

Arizona, if she could get the Hispanic community to fully turn out or turn out en masse she could flip the state.
Logged
RR1997
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,997
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 06, 2016, 09:53:11 PM »

In order from most likely to go for Hillary to the least likely:

1. Arizona

2. Georgia


3. Missouri




4. Indiana
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,283
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2016, 09:53:26 PM »

Arizona. Trump's atrocious numbers with Latinos really could make it competitive.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2016, 09:53:55 PM »

1. Arizona
2. Alaska
3. Indiana
Logged
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 06, 2016, 09:56:21 PM »

1. Arizona,53% Chance of winning
2. Missouri,45% Chance at winning
3. Georgia,44% Chance of winning
4. Indiana,37% Chance of winning
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,486
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 06, 2016, 09:59:46 PM »

I voted Arizona.
But keep wondering that if between her, Bill and Obama .... that if they push hard in Georgia (part of the south), they can take it.
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 06, 2016, 10:02:33 PM »

AZ with GA close behind....anything else is a waste of time.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 06, 2016, 10:05:07 PM »

Arizona (sane)
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 06, 2016, 10:08:11 PM »

AZ with GA close behind....anything else is a waste of time.

I think GA is the biggest waste of time out of these 4. MO/IN are huge longshots and could only fall in a wave, but at least they have persuadable voters. GA is completely inelastic and racially polarized. The best heavy investment could do is keep it relatively close, and in the electoral college close doesn't matter. I can't see her winning it, short of a Goldwater-esque Trump collapse.
Logged
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,756
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 06, 2016, 10:46:02 PM »

Well, she's only down by 3 in Utah...
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,761
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 07, 2016, 09:58:08 AM »

Voted GA, but AZ is also worth a try.
Logged
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,636
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2016, 09:59:49 AM »

AZ, because the senate race is winnable if turnout increases. Even if Clinton wins GA the senate race is still lean R due to a likely runoff.
Logged
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,208
Uruguay


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 07, 2016, 10:14:55 AM »

Hard to say so I went with Missouri. Georgia is the best in terms of electoral votes, the other three are equal.

edit: none of them are as important as the real swing states of course (OH,VA,FL)
Logged
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,208
Uruguay


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 07, 2016, 10:17:18 AM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.
Logged
Santander
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,941
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.00, S: 2.61


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 07, 2016, 10:18:44 AM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.
It was next door and polling looked promising.
Logged
°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,208
Uruguay


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 07, 2016, 10:21:27 AM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.
It was next door and polling looked promising.
It was interesting that he won, considering how Republican the state is. VA & CO also used to be safe for Republicans but now are key swing states.
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,486
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 07, 2016, 02:02:16 PM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.

It was next door and polling looked promising.

It was interesting that he won, considering how Republican the state is. VA & CO also used to be safe for Republicans but now are key swing states.

The entire nation, like our entire planet Earth, is slowly trending more "liberal."
This is nothing new, and completely transparent.
Think about it ..... for thousands of years, nations, governments and especially laws and rights, have all trended more and more "liberal" as time continues to tick.
Logged
Higgs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 07, 2016, 02:26:38 PM »

Arizona, but really her only chance at taking a Romney state is North Carolina. Even there it's doubtful she beats Trump.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 07, 2016, 02:32:08 PM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.

Because he could, and it helped with the mandate narrative
Logged
Kleine Scheiße
PeteHam
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,777
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.16, S: -1.74

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2016, 02:43:32 PM »

Arizona and Missouri are the only sensible strategies.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,295
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: June 07, 2016, 05:03:15 PM »

I never really understood why Obama wanted to win Indiana.

It was next door and polling looked promising.

It was interesting that he won, considering how Republican the state is. VA & CO also used to be safe for Republicans but now are key swing states.

The entire nation, like our entire planet Earth, is slowly trending more "liberal."
This is nothing new, and completely transparent.
Think about it ..... for thousands of years, nations, governments and especially laws and rights, have all trended more and more "liberal" as time continues to tick.


This is whiggish history on steroids.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 15 queries.