NH-1

[Strudelcutie4427]

http://www.nh1.com/news/nh1-news-reports-sanborn-eyeing-2018-bid-for-congress/

State Sen. Andy Sanborn (R-Bedford) met with NRCC officials in Washington this week and is very seriously considering a run for NH-1 next year

[Strudelcutie4427]

Sweeeet!   He's in a district Clinton won by 4 points!   Holy crap that would be a stupid move of the NH GOP...

It's not as if the NH GOP has any chance of winning anything in NH anyway. CSP and Annie Kuster aren't going to be beaten by anyone, so they might as well put up random sacrificial lambs.

Trump won NH-1 by 2 points. Clinton won NH-2 by 2 points. Both are extremely close and could really swing either way based on the national mood. I really don't get why there's so much hate for New Hampshire on this forum :/

[Strudelcutie4427]

Sweeeet!   He's in a district Clinton won by 4 points!   Holy crap that would be a stupid move of the NH GOP...

It's not as if the NH GOP has any chance of winning anything in NH anyway. CSP and Annie Kuster aren't going to be beaten by anyone, so they might as well put up random sacrificial lambs.

Trump won NH-1 by 2 points. Clinton won NH-2 by 2 points. Both are extremely close and could really swing either way based on the national mood. I really don't get why there's so much hate for New Hampshire on this forum :/

It's literally just TNVol.

As for Sanborn, I sincerely hope he loses. Not a nice/good guy, and it'll be good to get him out of that State Senate seat regardless. It's gerrymandered Republican, but I'm convinced that a good Dem candidate (with low turnout in Bedford) could probably flip it.

I personally dont know too much about the guy tbh, I'm from Hampstead so I wouldnt know much about a Bedford rep. Personally i'd prefer Dan Innis. I worked for him a few years ago, and he legitimately seemed like a nice guy. But i think he may stay in his Seacoast senate district for the time being

[Strudelcutie4427]

Innis would be the strongest candidate, but I don't see him running next time. Sanborn and Burt don't have prayer. Edwards is a nice guy, but I don't think he can beat CSP

If not Innis - who else (preferrably NOT ultraconservative)?

I don't know if there's anyone out there right now.

John Stephens who ran for governor in '10 is a name I've heard mentioned. He's more on the moderate side. Another person who I think could beat her is former State Rep Adam Schroadter. He's in line with  more liberty/Paul type Republicans but also is moderate on issues like abortion. With the right money he could go far.

Normally I would say Rich Ashooh but after his loss to Guinta in a winnable primary I think he's out of contention. 

Thanks!

What's wrong with you just supporting CSP's reelection? I'm a Republican and even I have her banner in my signature .
I don't really think the race is winnable for Republicans, it's money and time better spent elsewhere.

Because CSP is a complete hack whose honestly a reprehensible human being if you've ever met her. She doesn't have the best interest of the district at heart and would be more at home in Massachusetts. She's literally never done anything for the district. And as right wing as I am I'd happily support a centrist deal making RINO over this partisan hack who just votes pelosi's line on everything

[Strudelcutie4427]

Innis would be the strongest candidate, but I don't see him running next time. Sanborn and Burt don't have prayer. Edwards is a nice guy, but I don't think he can beat CSP

If not Innis - who else (preferrably NOT ultraconservative)?

I don't know if there's anyone out there right now.

John Stephens who ran for governor in '10 is a name I've heard mentioned. He's more on the moderate side. Another person who I think could beat her is former State Rep Adam Schroadter. He's in line with  more liberty/Paul type Republicans but also is moderate on issues like abortion. With the right money he could go far.

Normally I would say Rich Ashooh but after his loss to Guinta in a winnable primary I think he's out of contention. 

Thanks!

There's also Nancy Stiles, Ted Gatsas, and Chuck Morse.

I think Chuck Morse is from Salem which is in NH-2 (don't understand why either)

[Strudelcutie4427]

Just throwing the idea around but how'd Scott brown do in Dist-1 in the senate race? I know he actually did pretty well on the seacoast and in the southern areas. Doubt he'd wanna run for the house after being a senator though

[Strudelcutie4427]

Shea-Porter and Kuster are both excellent fits for their districts. And lol, Stephens wouldn't have beaten Hassan. No one would have.

Such excellent fits that neither got a majority against a corrupt dude and some guy who was never supposed to be competitive

[Strudelcutie4427]

Shea-Porter and Kuster are both excellent fits for their districts. And lol, Stephens wouldn't have beaten Hassan. No one would have.

Such excellent fits that neither got a majority against a corrupt dude and some guy who was never supposed to be competitive

They still won easily in a Republican wave year. And keep in mind that Kuster didn't really take her race in 2016 seriously because she was always ridiculously safe. When she actually campaigns - like in 2014 - she runs scorched-earth campaigns and basically destroys her opponent. Kuster is a machine, she single-handedly ended rising star Marilinda Garcia's political career. And let's be real here, no White Democratic woman is going to lose in NH any time soon. We all know what really counts in your state.

Last year wasn't really a republican wave. -6 in the house and -2 in the senate is not a wave. And if your claim was true CSP wouldn't have lost twice. Willing to bet that she'll be a 3 time loser come 2018

[Strudelcutie4427]

I'm willing to take that bet. And before anyone mentions Jeanne Shaheen... she is beyond safe. There is literally no Republican in NH who could even give her a scare. Shaheen is an even better fit for NH than Hassan, as crazy as it may sound LOL.

I actually won't disagree with you on this one. Jeanne Shaheen essentially built the NH Dem party in her own image, and her electoral success shows that she's a good fit for the state. I'd say she's far more in tune with, say, Rockingham and Strafford Counties than Grafton or Cheshire (also a valid model for an NH Democrat I'm eager to see tried) but she's about as safe as safe can be in a swing state.

That would be interesting to see a dem try to run with a predominantly Connecticut Valley strategy. While those towns along the River are Birkenstock Belt towns bleeding over from Vermont, I can't see Cheshire and Grafton being large enough margins to carry the whole state. Also, I have never been out there aside from Sunapee, but does anybody know why Sullivan County is much more conservative than Cheshire and Grafton? Aside from the obvious lack of Keene State and Dartmouth