2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Louisiana  (Read 40549 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« on: June 13, 2022, 11:00:35 AM »

Do you all seriously think SCOTUS won't shut this down? LOL. The only map with any chance of getting better for us is FL
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: June 13, 2022, 04:31:01 PM »

Do you all seriously think SCOTUS won't shut this down? LOL. The only map with any chance of getting better for us is FL
Not to mention you still have to worry about mid-decade redistricting by R's in your state if they flip the state Supreme Court this year.
And if Rs win the SC in IL. Or PA later in the decade lol. The list is endless
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2023, 04:16:47 PM »



It’s possible to make a Black-majority LA-05 as close as Biden+4. Cassidy won this seat and someone like Letlow can pull a Gerald Greene and hold it as long as she wants.

Maps like this are put up a lot by DRA users on twitter and atlas on how to "cheat" the VRA ruling, but pretty much never pass through the court and become reality.

The whole point of a VRA section 2 district is that the voters of the minority race can reliably elect the candidate of their choice, especially if the opposition bloc votes against the minority race, which is definitely the case in Louisiana and Alabama.

The lawyers know this, the courts know this, the politicians know this, it just won't happen.

There’s a reason the rural black seats in NC and GA still stand. If it looks like cheating, then it’s probably cheating.
But the NC one is only Biden +7, is that still legal?
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: June 28, 2023, 10:06:17 AM »

Based on 2022 results and the recent bipartisan efforts in the state to legislate on moral issues(porn verification, social media parental consent etc), I honestly expect Biden's margin in Louisiana to completely collapse. It won't likely be enough to save Letlow but I'd be wary of assuming Biden will hold up in this state(and the south in general)
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