The Institute of 2012 GOP nomination Intrade rankings

[Brittain33]

Romney drops.  Palin surges ahead of where she was before her resignation.  People are dumb.  There's no way her resignation actually *improved* her chances of being nominated for prez:

The polls show that she has become more popular with the Republican Party, not less, since her resignation. It is plausible that her chances of winning the nomination have gone up even while her chances of winning the general election have plummeted, especially if Obama looks nearly unbeatable and that 71% of Republicans feels content to vote "their hearts" in the primary instead of sending out someone who they don't like who won't win anyway.

[Brittain33]

I don't see what the logical connection is between quitting and her receiving more votes in the early primaries.  She opens herself up to a big, big attack and reportedly told her supporters they can move on to other candidates...are voters really going to eventually back her more overall and accept her narrative that it was completely selfless?

It means she has the opportunity to do more events like the Evansville Pro-Life dinner and appear very much in the fight in the lower 48, building connections to her audiences instead of coasting on memories.

[Brittain33]

And... Pence lower than Johnson!  That's a guy whose buyers have heard he's running for governor.

is there any link to a story involving Pence running for gov?

It's an announcement not a rumor, Google should do it.

[Brittain33]

Oh, oops.

In any case, no House member has won the White House directly since James Garfield, I think.

[Brittain33]

Daniels goes up?

[Brittain33]

Note that Paul hasn't moved upward, it's all Gingrich crashing...