It would be hilarious if CA/NY are within single digits, but Hillary still wins FL or PA and therefore the election.
I could totally see that happening with NY (and a CA-sized area of the Northeast in general), but there's just no way Trump does more than marginally better than Romney in CA. He likely does substantially worse. IF there's a swing state that ruins a narrow PV win for Trump, I think it will be Florida, primarily because the Miami Cuban community goes from 50/50 in 2012 to 2/1 for Clinton.
You can totally see Trump getting 44-46% of the vote in NY? I really can't.
Me neither. Trump will lose New York by a wide margin.
