Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: November 04, 2012, 06:39:31 PM » |
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Let's face it, there is no polling data that indicates anything but a win for Obama. He is polling better now than Bush was in 2004. He also has a better approval rating. Plus polls indicate the he has 'mo' in the last week. It is possible that Romney would win, but there simply are no precedents in recent presidential polling for it. Of course there can always be a first time, but that is what you are betting on.
Of course in 2004 Dems were also hoping the polls were wrong. They were hoping that LV screens were underestimating Dem turnout, especially non-whites and young voters. This year we are hearing from the Romney pollsters (and conservative pundits) that LV screens are overestimating Dems, especially young voters and non-whites.
We will find out in two days, but (as has been noted), the 'Romney will win' argument is one based on faith, or more to the point, lack of faith in polling.
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