Washington GOP caucus **results thread**
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Author Topic: Washington GOP caucus **results thread**  (Read 17868 times)
Franzl
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« Reply #25 on: March 03, 2012, 01:00:50 PM »
79.4% is what Romney currently has on Intrade. Don't you all find that incredibly overvalued considering it's a caucus and everything....with or without the last couple of polls?
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argentarius
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« Reply #26 on: March 03, 2012, 01:04:15 PM »
Quote from: Franzl on March 03, 2012, 01:00:50 PM
79.4% is what Romney currently has on Intrade. Don't you all find that incredibly overvalued considering it's a caucus and everything....with or without the last couple of polls?
He was higher in Colorado. Intrade is not reliable with caucuses. It never went for Santorum in Colorado/Iowa, Nevada was no contest though it got Minnesota and Maine fairly right.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #27 on: March 03, 2012, 01:06:17 PM »
Quote from: Franzl on March 03, 2012, 01:00:50 PM
79.4% is what Romney currently has on Intrade. Don't you all find that incredibly overvalued considering it's a caucus and everything....with or without the last couple of polls?

Depends on whether they use the actual results or the official results. Grin
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argentarius
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« Reply #28 on: March 03, 2012, 01:07:24 PM »
First precinct report on twitter has Paul 3, Santorum 3.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #29 on: March 03, 2012, 01:42:43 PM »
My precinct is 2 santorum 2 Paul 1 Gingrich. Lots of Paul and santorum presence. I have not seen any Romney support at all.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #30 on: March 03, 2012, 01:48:57 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 01:42:43 PM
My precinct is 2 santorum 2 Paul 1 Gingrich. Lots of Paul and santorum presence. I have not seen any Romney support at all.

Is that the number of delegates or the actual people there?
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #31 on: March 03, 2012, 01:50:08 PM »
Breaking: Paul and Santorum tied in Washington!

Paul: 5
Santorum: 5
Gingrich: 1
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #32 on: March 03, 2012, 01:51:24 PM »
Quote from: Lief on March 03, 2012, 01:48:57 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 01:42:43 PM
My precinct is 2 santorum 2 Paul 1 Gingrich. Lots of Paul and santorum presence. I have not seen any Romney support at all.

Is that the number of delegates or the actual people there?

People. We haven't done delegates yet. We have two delegates so it'll probably 1-1 santorum and Paul.
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #33 on: March 03, 2012, 03:04:54 PM »
Unofficial results of the combined caucus at the school I was at: 96 santorum, 89 Romney, 68 Paul, 36 Gingrich. Those are straw poll numbers. I am one of the two delegates for my precinct.
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bgwah
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« Reply #34 on: March 03, 2012, 03:05:36 PM »
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 03:04:54 PM
Unofficial results of the combined caucus at the school I was at: 96 santorum, 89 Romney, 68 Paul, 36 Gingrich.

Is this Snohomish County or Cheney?
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realisticidealist
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« Reply #35 on: March 03, 2012, 03:06:35 PM »
Quote from: bgwah on March 03, 2012, 03:05:36 PM
Quote from: realisticidealist on March 03, 2012, 03:04:54 PM
Unofficial results of the combined caucus at the school I was at: 96 santorum, 89 Romney, 68 Paul, 36 Gingrich.

Is this Snohomish County or Cheney?

Snohomish county. Lakewood high school.
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Alcon
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« Reply #36 on: March 03, 2012, 03:08:38 PM »
The results I'm seeing on Twitter look good for Romney.

Eastern Seattle suburbs "heavy for Romney"

Lakwood HS, Marysville: Santorum 96, Romney 89, Paul 68, Gingrich 36

Garfield City, Whitman County: Romney 24, Santorum 23, Gingrich 6, Paul 4

Reports from Tri-Cities of strong Romney support, little Santorum

Selah caucus in Yakima County split between Romney and Santorum

Mill Creek seems Romney/Paul split with some Gingrich and Santorum supporters
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #37 on: March 03, 2012, 03:09:29 PM »
Damn, should have predicted a Romney win.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #38 on: March 03, 2012, 03:11:12 PM »
WASHINGTON.ROMNEY trading at 85.7
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #39 on: March 03, 2012, 03:11:53 PM »
Mt. Vernon: Mitt Romney 6, Ron Paul 2, Newt Gingrich 1, Rick Santorum 1
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Alcon
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« Reply #40 on: March 03, 2012, 03:11:59 PM »
Mount Vernon "good for Romney"

Various reports from Seattle saying Paul is winning

I've yet to see any areas reported as strong for Santorum

edit: The entire city of Mt. Vernon surely has more than 10 caucusers.  damn Twitter reports!
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bgwah
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« Reply #41 on: March 03, 2012, 03:12:11 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 03, 2012, 03:08:38 PM
The results I'm seeing on Twitter look good for Romney.

Eastern Seattle suburbs "heavy for Romney"

Lakwood HS, Marysville: Santorum 96, Romney 89, Paul 68, Gingrich 36

Garfield City, Whitman County: Romney 24, Santorum 23, Gingrich 6, Paul 4

Reports from Tri-Cities of strong Romney support, little Santorum

Selah caucus in Yakima County split between Romney and Santorum

Mill Creek seems Romney/Paul split with some Gingrich and Santorum supporters

Ugh, yeah... That sounds like a Romney win. I always regret being brave and bold with my predictions.
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bgwah
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« Reply #42 on: March 03, 2012, 03:17:50 PM »
David Irons says Romney got 60-70% in Sammamish.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #43 on: March 03, 2012, 03:18:58 PM »
"Bainbridge Island Delegates split Romney and RonPaul. Many for RickSantorum though. Straw poll results tonight"
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Alcon
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« Reply #44 on: March 03, 2012, 03:21:54 PM »
Still yet to see a single report of a strong Santorum site, but plenty of strong Romney sites, and a few for Paul.

Sammamish (well-to-do Seattle 'burb) is "landslide for Romney"

Kirkland (ditto) "appeared evenly split between Mitt Romney, Ron Paul and Rick Santorum, although Newt Gingrich supporters were in attendance as well."

Belltown in Seattle: “This is pretty much a Ron Paul crowd,” he said. “Probably split between Ron Paul and Mitt Romney.”

SeaTac: "Paul supporters appear out in force, or at least have the most campaign apparel. Mitt Romney buttons dot a few coats. No sign of Santorum or Gingrich boosters."

Report of Romney win in suburban Everett

Bainbridge Island split between Romney and Paul, with many for Santorum too
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bgwah
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« Reply #45 on: March 03, 2012, 03:22:40 PM »
Yeah, this looks over already. Hopefully I'm wrong. Losing 2 points in my own state, how embarrassing.
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Cathcon
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« Reply #46 on: March 03, 2012, 03:29:09 PM »
What are you following on Twitter to get results?
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bgwah
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« Reply #47 on: March 03, 2012, 03:29:20 PM »
Redmond looking like another Romney win.
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Alcon
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« Reply #48 on: March 03, 2012, 03:33:07 PM »
Spokane is supposedly good for Paul -- the Paul folks there allegedly have it together.

Otherwise, most of the Paul reports are coming from Seattle.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #49 on: March 03, 2012, 03:48:20 PM »
Caucus pics from the Seattle Times:
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