How will the political landscape be in 2024? (user search)
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  How will the political landscape be in 2024? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How will the political landscape be in 2024?  (Read 43779 times)
Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« on: August 01, 2006, 09:33:30 AM »

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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #1 on: October 29, 2007, 10:50:05 AM »

As I have said numerous times, you can't anticipate what things will be like 20 years down the road.  You can guess with some level of accuracy what the demographics of certain areas will be like, and thus have a decent idea of how they might be inclined, but the parties themselves change, and the issues change.  There are going to be huge issues then that we haven't even thought of now.

Yea, like if Robots can vote or not.... Smiley
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #2 on: October 29, 2007, 06:10:23 PM »

Yea, like if Robots can vote or not.... Smiley

They already do.  As do the dead. Tongue

So is that how Bush won FL in 2000? The dead voted for him?
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2007, 06:45:43 PM »

Yea, like if Robots can vote or not.... Smiley
They already do.  As do the dead. Tongue
So is that how Bush won FL in 2000? The dead voted for him?

Though Florida is the death capital of the world, dead all across the country vote for both Democrats and Republicans.  It's quite a remarkable show of will-power and spiritual presence.

And they say halloween is when they dead come back to life! Ha guess again, it's election day is when the dead walks again.
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Josh/Devilman88
josh4bush
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,079
Political Matrix
E: 3.61, S: -1.74

« Reply #4 on: November 26, 2007, 02:13:28 PM »

Based totally on trends and guessing:



Democrats: 211
Republican: 124
Tossup: 203

I think that both Missouri and Tennessee will lose an EV.

Where is the evidence that Indiana and Kentucky will gain one a each?  Certainly North Carolina and Virginia will gain before they do.

Growth is going to become unsustainable in Florida... and even more so if there is either a severe economic slow down, or any rise in sea level.

Severe water shortages are going to hamper growth in the Southwest... whether climate change makes things drier or not and there is no evidence that New Mexico will grow that fast.  Again unsustainable growth and unwillingness to find a long term solution to the water problem will be the culprits.

Maryland will pick up a vote, I think.

PA and Ohio won't bleed as badly as you predict, and nor will New York.

Washington will stay the same, or even pick up a vote, barring disaster.

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