Quinnipiac University: Lieberman ends slide

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lamont 51% Lieberman 45%

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2006/08/07/in_connecticut_lieberman_cuts_lamonts_lead.html

[Wiz in Wis]

It seems like there is the natural swing to what you know in the undecideds.  But, this poll is probably not going to matter much depending on turnout.  I still think Lamont has a bigger edge given the motivation of CT dems regarding the war.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I dpn't know about that, I think that Lamont or Lieberman can win now. It seems like Lieberman has made a comeback.  And depending on the turnout, that will determine who will win.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Clearly the blackface fake-photo is the reason for this

[Wiz in Wis]

I dpn't know about that, I think that Lamont or Lieberman can win now. It seems like Lieberman has made a comeback.  And depending on the turnout, that will determine who will win.

In a general election I would agree with you, but here's the kicker, in this poll undecideds were at 4%.  Thats not a lot of ground for Lieberman to work with. He would have to convince 5% of Lamont voters to come back to him to squeek this one out.  Plus, there is really no reliable way to predict how turnout will affect this. It could be that higher turnout would hurt Joe as the general dem opinion on him is lower than 50%.  I think he can win, I just dont see it happening without him having a 5-10% lead over Lamont.

There is no reliable predictor of this race

[TheresNoMoney]

Lieberman could win, but Lamont voters are much more motivated and that will probably make the difference.

Lieberman supporters have a candidate, Lamont supporters have a cause. The voters with a cause almost always win.

[Flying Dog]

Lieberman could win, but Lamont voters are much more motivated and that will probably make the difference.

[Nym90]

I still think Lieberman will pull it off, but I seem to be in the vast minority on that. I guess we'll find out.

[Eraserhead]

Well this poll will make watching tonight's results come in on MSNBC a little more interesting at least.