TX-PPP: Cruz +6

[TheRocketRaccoon]

https://www.scribd.com/document/381154820/PPP-poll-of-TX-SEN-for-Giffords

Cruz 48
O'Rourke 42

[ON Progressive]

Still Likely R.

[Sir Mohamed]

Lean to likely R. But closer to likely. Beto can win this, but it's far more likely not to happen than to happen.

[Politician]

Going out on a limb and saying Lean R. An improvement from the previous poll.

[Arkansas Yankee]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

[KingSweden]

Likely R seems right here.

[ON Progressive]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

The "Democrat Party" doesn't exist.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

I think this will be the final margin, but the race is probably at Cruz + 8 right now.

Also lol at PPP thinking gun control is the issue that will bring dems to victory in TX.

[Politician]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

PPP is no more a "evul Democrat pollster" than, say, your beloved Reuters or Rasmussen are "Republican pollsters".

Anyway, this looks like the final margin, give or take a couple points.

[Xing]

#CruzUnder50!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Still Likely R, though. Cruz probably wins by high single digits.

[OneJ]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

I see that PPP has your blood pressure raised.

[Politician]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

I see that PPP has your blood pressure raised.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Once again, within range of expectations. Cruz will likely win, but it will probably be the closest statewide race for a Republican in Texas in more than 15 years.

[Arkansas Yankee]

PPP IS such an arm of the Democrat Party, that I pay little attention to them till the September before a November election.  By September they understand their credibility is on the line.

Below is an article setting out the polls in the Cotton Pryor race in 2014.  You will notice that PPP’s numbers do not get in line with the other polls until September.   ALWAYS REMEMBER PPP IS FIRST AND ALWAYS A DEMOCRAT POLLSTER.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Arkansas,_2014

PPP is no more a "evul Democrat pollster" than, say, your beloved Reuters or Rasmussen are "Republican pollsters".

Anyway, this looks like the final margin, give or take a couple points.

This Wikipedia article describes the firm as a Democrat firm:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Public_Policy_Polling

I do not think they are evil.  I do tend to ignore them till September.  But I always agree they should be in the RCP AVERAGE.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Once again, within range of expectations. Cruz will likely win, but it will probably be the closest statewide race for a Republican in Texas in more than 15 years.

[Ebsy]

The difference between PPP and a lot of other partisan pollsters is that PPP has a record of excellence that simply cannot easily be disputed.

[ElectionsGuy]

Q 11-13 and 15-17 and yet Cruz still wins after that, tells you all you need to know here.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Q 11-13 and 15-17 and yet Cruz still wins after that, tells you all you need to know here.

I don't think PPP realizes that gun control is not the best strategy to winning in TX lol

[UWS]

IMHO, if things go worse because of Trump's tariffs, I would rate this race Lean R or Toss-up due to the fact that an important part of Texas' economy depends on trade with Mexico and to Cruz's support to the construction of Trump's border wall, which could also restrict trade with Mexico.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/06/04/politics/trump-trade-democrats-midterms/index.html

[Progressive Pessimist]

Still Likely R.

[wesmoorenerd]

Likely R, closer to Lean than Safe. O'Rourke can make up some of that ground before November but he doesn't have a ton of time and Texas doesn't have a ton of voters to swing.

[Burke Bro]

I find it interesting that 52% of respondents think gun laws should be stronger. Then again, 49% have a favorable view of the NRA..

[Sir Mohamed]

Likely R, closer to Lean than Safe. O'Rourke can make up some of that ground before November but he doesn't have a ton of time and Texas doesn't have a ton of voters to swing.

The question is the strategy. I think he should focus on suburbs, where Hillary came close to winning.

[TheSaint250]

Well I think I'm ready to stop being a hack and move this in my mental ratings to likely R now

(though I still expect the gap to widen in a few months but we'll see)

[Stranger in a strange land]

Likely R, closer to Lean than Safe. O'Rourke can make up some of that ground before November but he doesn't have a ton of time and Texas doesn't have a ton of voters to swing.

Lyin' Ted is favored, but not heavily so, and he's only a scandal or a gaffe away from losing.