Did Bush get his increased margin from Bush counties or Gore counties? (user search)
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  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Did Bush get his increased margin from Bush counties or Gore counties? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Did Bush get his increased margin from Bush counties or Gore counties?  (Read 2400 times)
kevinatcausa
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« on: November 10, 2004, 06:07:24 PM »

My apologies if this has been asked already.

Has anyone run a county-county regression of (Bush margin of victory in 2004-Bush margin of victory in 2000) vs. Bush margin of victory in 2004 or something similar (though I don't think the axes I give here are properly normalized...)

Looking at the Ohio maps from 2004 and 2000, it looks on the surface like Bush won more by increasing his support in the counties that went for him in 2000 than by winning must support in the counties with close races, and I'm curious if this is a general trend or if I'm just seeing things?
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