The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[Woody]

Hickenlooper staffing up:

https://www.cpr.org/news/story/hickenlooper-staffs-up-for-possible-2020-presidential-bid

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John Kerry 2.0

[Comrade Funk]

Hickenlooper staffing up:

https://www.cpr.org/news/story/hickenlooper-staffs-up-for-possible-2020-presidential-bid

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John Kerry 2.0

John Kerry won the nomination. Hickenlooper isn't making it to Iowa. More like Vilsack 2.0.

[Mr. Morden]

Bloomberg to release an updated version of his biography on Jan. 7th:

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/420006-updated-bloomberg-biography-to-be-released-amid-2020-speculation

Latest on Biden:

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/12/joe-biden-will-decide-soon-running-president/577447/

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[Joey1996]

This is moving a lot slower than any of us expected. Maybe the field won't be as large as intially thought? Probably closer to 15 than 20

[Spiffy]

If Trump nominates Barr for AG, Biden’s past praise and vote for him will definitely be an issue.

[aaroncd107]

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/editorials/2018/12/07/deval-patrick-knew-when-call-quits-presidential-bid-other-political-figures-should-take-note/nOLcrzE5xTQgfXpPMKrUZM/story.html

Big oof for Liz Warren

[Spiffy]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Lol at this CNBC article mentioning how ❤❤Brown❤❤ is considering a run but not the guy who's basically already been running for a year. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/06/sherrod-brown-jeff-merkley-want-to-block-lawmakers-from-buying-selling-stock.html

[America Needs R'hllor]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

Oh my god that account is awesome. MAYOR PETE FTW

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

This is moving a lot slower than any of us expected. Maybe the field won't be as large as intially thought? Probably closer to 15 than 20

I just think a lot of candidates are just realizing that announcing now isn't really that much of a leg up compared to announcing in the spring, and if a major candidate announced now, all that would happen is all the major candidates announce now. Nobody wants to add a few months to the process to get no real advantage from it.

The field was never gonna be this two-dozen+ s*itfest where every member of congress and their mom runs that everybody thought it was gonna be though. Still probably approaching 20 though.

[aaroncd107]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070810636924407808?s=21
Wonder what this could be? Just a gag? Doesn’t seem like Pete (or anyone) would announce he’s running without organizing some kind of a rally... Re-election for mayor? Announcement of an announcement speech?

[Spiffy]

If he's just getting a second dog I would not be mad.

[Sherrod Brown Shill]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070810636924407808?s=21
Wonder what this could be? Just a gag? Doesn’t seem like Pete (or anyone) would announce he’s running without organizing some kind of a rally... Re-election for mayor? Announcement of an announcement speech?

I'm trying to imagine a world where a presidential candidate's staff advised that the candidate's dog's Twitter should be used to hype up the announcement, but I just can't.

[kyc0705]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070810636924407808?s=21
Wonder what this could be? Just a gag? Doesn’t seem like Pete (or anyone) would announce he’s running without organizing some kind of a rally... Re-election for mayor? Announcement of an announcement speech?

I'm trying to imagine a world where a presidential candidate's staff advised that the candidate's dog's Twitter should be used to hype up the announcement, but I just can't.

Clearly the news is that the dog is running for President.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Pete Buttigieg is teasing an announcement through his dog’s twitter account

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070701670475161600?s=21

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070810636924407808?s=21
Wonder what this could be? Just a gag? Doesn’t seem like Pete (or anyone) would announce he’s running without organizing some kind of a rally... Re-election for mayor? Announcement of an announcement speech?

Can we have a live thread for this please thnx

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Hickenlooper staffing up:

https://www.cpr.org/news/story/hickenlooper-staffs-up-for-possible-2020-presidential-bid

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John Kerry 2.0

John Kerry won the nomination. Hickenlooper isn't making it to Iowa. More like Vilsack 2.0.

That's an insult to Vilsack.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Mayor Pete Buttigieg has announced that he has adopted a 2nd dog.

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070830743381782529

[Spiffy]

But what does this MEAN for 2020? Explain with maps.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I have to be honest, Buttigieg went up on my list for making such an endearing, amusing tease like that.

[Ye We Can]

Mayor Pete Buttigieg has announced that he has adopted a 2nd dog.

https://twitter.com/firstdogtruman/status/1070830743381782529

God I hate this man

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Wow, i like Buttigieg.

[Mr. Morden]

This is moving a lot slower than any of us expected. Maybe the field won't be as large as intially thought? Probably closer to 15 than 20

Really?  I’d say it’s moving right at about the pace I was expecting.  Were you thinking there would be a bunch of candidate announcements by now?  Because those didn’t happen in the last two presidential cycles until around March and April.  With the modern campaign finance system, it doesn’t necessarily make sense to announce this early.  If you have a PAC, you can just have your PAC fund your travels around the country, and serve as a pseudo-campaign.  Once you formally launch your campaign, that campaign is subject to fundraising limits, and you don’t want to burn through $ too quickly.

I'm actually surprised that someone as major as Kamala Harris is talking about deciding over the holidays (which then potentially means an announcement as early as January?).  I don't know if she'll actually follow through on that, but if she does that puts us ahead of the 2016 schedule.

As for how big the field will be, I still think it might end up being ~20, but honestly it depends on who you’re counting.  Does every candidate, even those who’ve never held office and might not ever actually be included in polls, count?  E.g., does Ojeda count?  Would Marianne Williamson count?  If so, then I think the field will be huge.


In other news….Sherrod Brown ally creates “The Committee to Draft Sherrod Brown for President 2020”:

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/henrygomez/sherrod-brown-2020-presidential-campaign-pac

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Bloomberg met with some top state Democrats while in Iowa:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/12/06/michael-bloomberg-2020-iowa-democrats-1048159

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[Mr. Morden]

While Harris got some media attention for hinting at an early decision (after talking to friends and family over the holidays....which could imply a campaign announcement as early as January), the AP says several others are also eyeing early (maybe January) announcements, at least of exploratory committees.....namely Warren, Booker, Hickenlooper, and Gillibrand:

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/dems-primary-debate-may

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[Ummmm....why is O'Rourke listed in both groups?  ]

Also, O'Rourke's only hesitation is not wanting to spend so much more time away from his family:

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[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Also, O'Rourke's only hesitation is not wanting to spend so much more time away from his family:

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So, Beto is obviously running.

[Sir Mohamed]

Also, O'Rourke's only hesitation is not wanting to spend so much more time away from his family:

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So, Beto is obviously running.

Yes, because this is his chance. He may never get a better chance than now.