The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[indietraveler]

N U T
https://twitter.com/davidsiders/status/1067161094005841923?s=21

That was a quick change of answer - I bet he's in!

[Progressive Pessimist]

N U T
https://twitter.com/davidsiders/status/1067161094005841923?s=21

That was a quick change of answer - I bet he's in!

BETo.

[Askew]

I think a lot of the media and Dem politicians learned the wrong lesson from 2016 and think that a white man will have it easier than another woman. Hillary didn't lose because she is a woman but because she generated little excitement in the base, was toxic to independents and ran one of the most arrogant and lazy campaigns I've ever seen from a Dem presidential candidate. Another woman won't have those issues.

I agree with your post in regards to how another woman wouldn't necessarily be a repeat of Clinton's loss from 2016. But I disagree that her campaign was lazy or arrogant. It was done in by a perfect storm of factors, ones mostly beyond her control. Lessons should still be learned from it, of course.

Agreed. There were about 10 different factors of why HRC lost. Some were in her control, some out of it. I *will* say though, I don't think her campaign got lazy or arrogant, per say, but I remember thinking it was really annoying how Trump would do like 3 rallies a day and be everywhere, and she'd only do like 1. The next candidate really needs to be on their grind, Beto-style, non-stop for every single vote, and take nothing for granted anywhere. It's clear, unfortunately, that they took Wisconsin and Michigan for granted.

Beto used the Obama campaign method. That Obama method to outwork your opponent was key to him beating Hillary and she still mailed it in in 2016. I never want to see another Dem run an arrogant campaign like that again.

On a side note, Bernie is going to run. His ego is too big to sit it out.

[Mr. Morden]

N U T
https://twitter.com/davidsiders/status/1067161094005841923?s=21

That was a quick change of answer - I bet he's in!

This isn't new.  As I noted 10 days ago:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=303677.msg6539219#msg6539219

O'Rourke was in DC a couple of weeks ago, and, when asked about 2020, said " I haven’t made any decisions about anything".

The Hill - Bernie Sanders: "I will probably run in 2020 if I'm the best candidate to beat Trump"

AKA - he's in.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/418224-bernie-sanders-i-will-run-in-2020-if-it-turns-out-im-the-best-candidate-to?fbclid=IwAR19uLvEhrgkObprZ3fQhOJ9MNI7wtzgVA-ac8phP30rwaaz7I4w8T_I8kA

He may run, sure, but "I'll run if I'm convinced I'm the best candidate to win" is a pretty standard keeping your options open response.  I don't see it as being definitive either way.

In other news, Bloomberg is headed to Iowa next week:

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/11/26/michael-bloomberg-visit-iowa-2020-presidential-run-new-york-city-mayor-democrat-republican-climate/2120139002/

And Gabbard is headed to NH this weekend:

https://twitter.com/jdistaso/status/1067138490310279169

[Former Kentuckian]

New story about the early state jockeying here:

https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/article221978055.html

E.g.:

And after an Iowa appearance, Booker’s team found photos from the event that attendees had posted on Facebook. Booker signed and mailed back at least 150 of those pictures, as well as personal thank you notes, to Iowa activists.

“That is just genius staff work,” said the longtime Iowa operative, who is unaligned and praised Booker, Harris, Montana Gov. Steve Bullock and Delaney. “To have the entrepreneurial approach to say, how can we get these photos, to be aware enough that people posting photos with the senator are more than likely caucus-goers anyway. I thought it was unique and showed an extra level of effort, a personal touch, which is what caucuses are all about.”

I'm not a Booker fan but, from a campaign perspective, that's pretty dang brilliant.

[Mr. Morden]

Cuomo: "I am ruling it out":

https://theweek.com/speedreads/809597/andrew-cuomo-swears-hes-not-running-president-2020

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[lfromnj]

Cuomo: "I am ruling it out":

https://theweek.com/speedreads/809597/andrew-cuomo-swears-hes-not-running-president-2020

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Aw damn I was just getting excited.

[Lourdes]

Cuomo: "I am ruling it out":

https://theweek.com/speedreads/809597/andrew-cuomo-swears-hes-not-running-president-2020

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[Former Crackhead Mike Lindell]

Ah, the potential clown car potentially gets a tiny bit less crowded. Just a tiny bit.

[History505]

Ah, the potential clown car potentially gets a tiny bit less crowded. Just a tiny bit.

He knows he doesn't have a chance.

[aaroncd107]

Not that it’s news, but...

https://twitter.com/hardball/status/1067579066205827072?s=21

[NewYorkExpress]

Cuomo: "I am ruling it out":

https://theweek.com/speedreads/809597/andrew-cuomo-swears-hes-not-running-president-2020

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I actually believe this. Cuomo doesn't want to be his father, the Hamlet on the Hudson who dithered about runs in 1984, 1988 and 1992. He'll make his intentions clear now and in 2024 (if applicable). Mind you, if Gillibrand is elected President, I wouldn't be stunned if Cuomo runs in the special for her seat...

[Mr. Morden]

Lengthy video interview with Hickenlooper here:

https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/politics-unplugged/gov-john-hickenlooper-opens-up-about-family-life-future-need-for-honeymoon

He says that after his term as governor ends in January, he’s planning to take a few weeks off.  As for a timeline on his 2020 decision?:

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He also says that if he doesn’t run for president, he “might teach”, and brushes aside the suggestion that he run for Senate instead as something that would make more sense for “a young politician”.

[Liberalrocks]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/418620-clinton-dodges-question-on-2020-bid

[Mr. Morden]

Not that it’s news, but...

https://twitter.com/hardball/status/1067579066205827072?s=21

More from that interview here:

link

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[Storr]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/418620-clinton-dodges-question-on-2020-bid

Hilary, please don't.

[History505]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/418620-clinton-dodges-question-on-2020-bid

Hilary, please don't.

She won't, she's just joking around.

[Mr. Morden]

Jesse Ventura tells TMZ that he's thinking about running for the Green Party nomination for president in 2020:

http://www.tmz.com/2018/11/28/jesse-ventura-running-president-trump-wrestlemania/

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[Former Kentuckian]

Jesse Ventura tells TMZ that he's thinking about running for the Green Party nomination for president in 2020:

http://www.tmz.com/2018/11/28/jesse-ventura-running-president-trump-wrestlemania/

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L M A O

[President Johnson]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/418620-clinton-dodges-question-on-2020-bid

Hilary, please don't.

Let her run to embrass herself and drop out after finishing in single digits in the Iowa Caucus.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Ironic that Kamala Harris went with the all-white outfit (Similar to Hillary Clinton at the 2016 DNC) on the cover of her book coming out in January.

In case if you had any doubt she's running.

[JG]

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/418620-clinton-dodges-question-on-2020-bid

Hilary, please don't.

She is obviously joking.

[Mr. Morden]

Bullock says he’s not interested in running for Senate:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/28/democrats-senate-majority-2020-1022465

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Kerry:

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/28/john-kerry-possible-2020-bid-1023960

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[wbrocks67]

It's very obvious that as it stands now, Beto would go into the primary as the "enthusiasm" candidate.

[MApatriot]

Literally a red wave baby