I'm surprised that the expectations for Clinton are as low as they are, but I still think the best she could do is a draw, mainly because I expect some Al Gore level sighing. Trump, on the other hand, will probably get a pass if he can form coherent sentences on stage, and he'll get a major win if he proves even the barest bit more substance than he's already given thus far (for example, expanding on how he is going to do better on women's health or a more detailed presentation of his plan to rebuild America's infrastructure).
You just explained why the likelihood of a Clinton win is low and you're surprised at this point?
You're reading me wrong - I saw the Gallup poll which showed the public perception is that Clinton will win the debate, but not by as much as they thought Obama would in 2012. I am not all surprised in expecting a Clinton loss.
I do, however, disagree with the impression. That it is Clinton who would have the biggest problem in a town hall. Those kind of debates require a bit of emotional empathy - something Clinton is bad at but trump is quite a bit worse at. I think Clinton actually wins the town hall debate for that reason.
Poll
