Justin Trudeau vs. Andrew Scheer in the US: who would win?

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This seems like Pete Buttegieg vs. Mike Pence. One's a vaguely left-leaning centrist with a pretty face, who tries too hard to be woke. The other is a generic religious right empty suit with the charisma of a mailbox.

Trudeau won't be as successful as Biden in convincing the hard left Democrats, due to his insincere wokeness and the lack of a hated opponent. Scheer will be excellent for the religious right, do somewhat better than Trump in wealthy suburbs, but can't win the WWC vote. Like him or not, Trudeau is an excellent retail campaigner. Scheer has the political acumen of a cardboard box. I give the odds to Trudeau, with a PV/EV and turnout similar to 2012.

[2952-0-0]

Harper doesn't seem moved by appeals to "decency" and so on.  Unless he's sympathetic to Bolton or something.

He's a think tank conservative basically.  Trump wouldn't be his first choice, but would given that he seemed to get on with Orban, would accept him as the conservative choice.

Harper was openly kissing Trump's behind, including visiting the White House when Canada was engaged in a trade war with the US, and openly advocating that Canada should just take whatever deal is offered.