North Carolina 2012 Congressional Races

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

GOD DAMMIT!!!

Quoted with added emotion.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

Do you mean Bladen?

I am more interested in his impact on the primary.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

My family and I went out and voted for Rouzer, yesterday. Turnout is lower than expected as far as early voting is concerned, at the place we went.

While driving back we discovered this empty store front with a bunch of Rouzer signs on the windows. Poking around, the space is loaded with hundreds of his signs, but no lights on or campaign people. Either some kind of massive hometurf operation is underway, or a significant amount of money has been waisted to purchase signs that will go to waste.

What all is included in his State Senate district?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Then all he has in the new 7th district is Johnston County, correct?


Any chance he gets Sampson in the primary?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Then all he has in the new 7th district is Johnston County, correct?


Any chance he gets Sampson in the primary?

Yes, his only base in the new 7th is Johnston county.

I'm not sure...culturally, Sampson is rural but I think Rouzer could carry it because of its proximity to his Senate district.

You don't think Johnston is rural?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Then all he has in the new 7th district is Johnston County, correct?
Any chance he gets Sampson in the primary?

Yes, his only base in the new 7th is Johnston county.

I'm not sure...culturally, Sampson is rural but I think Rouzer could carry it because of its proximity to his Senate district.

You don't think Johnston is rural?

Eh, I'd consider it more suburban/exurban....it isn't quite as rural as some other counties in the district (Columbus, Bladen, etc.).  

It has more people and a growing population. But it is a conservative county that still thinks of itself as rural, if that makes sense. This is especially the case amongst Republicans.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Did the GOP make a mistake in drawing the new 13th? On paper it looks like a clear GOP win as mccain won it 54-45 but NC polls show Obama doing well in the Raleigh area. Because it's a high population growth area I could see it trending sharply Dem (maybe romney wins it by 4-7) this year and by 2016 it becomes a genuine tossup.

No, not really. Its really a 'diet coke' version of CD9; basically, CD13 is to Raleigh what CD9 is to Charlotte. Its trending D but it still reliably R in statewide races. Even the Wake part of the district would have voted for McCain.

It also doesn't help that Paul Coble, former Raleigh mayor, will be the Republican nominee

Are you sure? Holding seems to have been running far more ads. And there are PACs running ads bashing Coble's record and votes increase Wake County's debt.

Also keep an eye on Elmers. She pissed off some people in Harnett county last year when the Tornadoes hit. She volunteered at a center in Raleigh, instead of one in hard hit Harnett county where she lives. And one of her opponents is running ads claiming she is pro-gay marriage because she opposes amendment 1.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

How did the debate go?


Also, I am getting sick of these radio ads for Tim D'Annunzio and George Holding. I wanna listen to music to get away from politics, not hear more of it.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

I, for one, am glad that McIntrye might win. I liked Pantano way more the Rouzer. Don't care what anyone says, Pantano is a hero.

There is a reason I voted against Pantano, in spite of tremendous issues with Rouzer. And I am glad I did that because I don't think Pantano would have come that close.

I also didn't like the idea of being represented by someone way down in Wilmington, versus someone from right down the road (WE SHOULDN'T BE IN THIS DAMN DISTRICT )

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Yep, model for 2014.

Get someone who can outperform in either Mecklenburg or Wake County.

Or maybe even a little bit of both for good measure.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

When it does, can I get a precinct map of Mecklenburg between Obama and Romney?


I was surprised that Romney didn't get back into the low 40's. I was anticipating there being a Palin effect wearing off similar to what happened in certain tracks in upscale precincts in places like Orange county, etc.