Exit poll leaks

[Mr. Morden]

This has posted on National Review's "The Corner", under the heading "Rumor":

"bush down 4 in ohio, down 4 in fla, downm 1 in NM, down 1 in mich, down 2 iowa

As Kathryn said, these early reports are unreliable, but these are numbers we just got from a major newsroom. Take with a grain of salt."

[Mr. Morden]

At the Corner, Jonah Goldberg is saying that the early numbers from mydd.com (and reposted by Wonkette) "are absolutely, positively  not exit poll numbers. They might be results of early voting "exit" polls (i.e. votes cast over the last two weeks), but they do not track at all the exits for votes cast today. That said, I'm told the exits don't look great for Bush either."

[Mr. Morden]

Wonkette is now posting new numbers for the national PV and a few swing states:

K/B

USA: 50-49
FL: 50-49
OH: 50-49
Colorado: 48-50
NM: 50-48 (these numbers could change)

[Mr. Morden]

Bush is now plummeting on Tradesports.  It now has Kerry favored to win the election.  Kerry slightly favored in OH, but Bush still slightly favored in FL.

[Mr. Morden]

New numbers from Wonkette:

FL: 52/48 - KERRY
OH: 52/47 - KERRY
MI: 51/48 - KERRY
PA: 58/42 - KERRY
IA: 50/48 - KERRY
WI: 53/47 - KERRY
MN: 57/42 - KERRY
NH: 58/41 - KERRY
ME: 55/44 - KERRY

NM: 49/49 - TIE

NV: 48/49 - BUSH
CO: 49/50 - BUSH
AR: 45/54 - BUSH
NC: 47/53 - BUSH


"A NOTE ON EXITS/EARLY POLLING: We post these numbers because information wants to be free! Run, information! Run for your life!

UPDATE: K/B 50/49 in fla at 4:15, says another birdie."