2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191831 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2375 on: November 01, 2020, 06:02:12 PM »
Quote from: forza nocta on November 01, 2020, 06:01:27 PM
Today wasn’t as poll heavy as I’d thought it would be. “Super Poll Sunday” my a**

Sets us up for Mega-Poll Monday, forza!
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2376 on: November 01, 2020, 06:51:33 PM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on November 01, 2020, 05:42:34 PM
Is there really not going to be a final ABC/Wapo national poll this year? The gold standard for national polling IMO, and the state polling they seem to have done instead seems of rather questionable quality in comparison.

They can still release one tomorrow...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2377 on: November 01, 2020, 07:01:30 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 01, 2020, 06:51:33 PM
Quote from: tagimaucia on November 01, 2020, 05:42:34 PM
Is there really not going to be a final ABC/Wapo national poll this year? The gold standard for national polling IMO, and the state polling they seem to have done instead seems of rather questionable quality in comparison.

They can still release one tomorrow...

I feel like it will probably come out tonight at midnight.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2378 on: November 01, 2020, 07:22:10 PM »

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philly09
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« Reply #2379 on: November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM »


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forza nocta
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« Reply #2380 on: November 01, 2020, 08:49:34 PM »
Wtf, no Monmouth or ABC/WAPO final nat. poll... smh
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Horus
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« Reply #2381 on: November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?
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philly09
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« Reply #2382 on: November 01, 2020, 08:51:21 PM »
Why would it be a problem if they showed a 15 point Biden lead?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2383 on: November 01, 2020, 08:52:36 PM »
Tomorrow:
Fox state polls - PA likely one of them
CBS/YouGov state polls - PA likely one of them
PA-Monmouth
PA-Marist
AZ, FL, NC - Reuters/Ipsos (probably)

Pretty good chance we get at least 4 Pennsylvania polls.
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philly09
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« Reply #2384 on: November 01, 2020, 08:52:56 PM »
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2385 on: November 01, 2020, 09:20:29 PM »
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?

They had Biden +14 in the last poll. Likely have the same margin. Don't want to be wrong if they publish and Trump overperforms.
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philly09
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« Reply #2386 on: November 01, 2020, 09:24:32 PM »
« Edited: November 01, 2020, 09:28:53 PM by philly09 »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on November 01, 2020, 09:20:29 PM
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?


They had Biden +14 in the last poll. Likely have the same margin. Don't want to be wrong if they publish and Trump overperforms.


Even if Trump over performs by 4-5-6, that still gives Biden a 8-9-10 lead.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2387 on: November 01, 2020, 09:27:00 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 09:24:32 PM
Quote from: TheLaRocca on November 01, 2020, 09:20:29 PM
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?

Even if Trump over performs by 4-5-6, that still gives Biden a 8-9-10 lead.

They had Biden +14 in the last poll. Likely have the same margin. Don't want to be wrong if they publish and Trump overperforms.


Yeah, they had no change in the state polls...

If it was Biden by +8-9 (which is the polling "consensus" RN they would have no problem releasing it) if it was a close race they would not either.

So that's why.

Don't think it means much even if they had Biden up by some crazy results. Every 'gold standard" (mason dixon in Florida) collapses eventually.
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philly09
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« Reply #2388 on: November 01, 2020, 11:12:58 PM »
Final House polls tomorrow.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #2389 on: November 02, 2020, 12:43:50 AM »
Monmouth PA poll coming at 6 AM EST tomorrow.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2390 on: November 02, 2020, 01:50:21 AM »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on November 01, 2020, 09:20:29 PM
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?

They had Biden +14 in the last poll. Likely have the same margin. Don't want to be wrong if they publish and Trump overperforms.


It was Biden +12.
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philly09
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« Reply #2391 on: November 02, 2020, 02:27:48 AM »
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2392 on: November 02, 2020, 06:14:44 AM »
It would really be insane if ABC/Wapo didn't have a final poll. Not just because of their stature, but theyve nailed it in all the past national elections
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #2393 on: November 02, 2020, 07:23:19 AM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 02:27:48 AM

This is actually worrying since it makes it much easier for Trump to steal the election if democrats already absurdly believe that they are losing.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2394 on: November 02, 2020, 07:31:23 AM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 02, 2020, 07:23:19 AM
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 02:27:48 AM

This is actually worrying since it makes it much easier for Trump to steal the election if democrats already absurdly believe that they are losing.

I think a lot of Democrats intrinsically believe they will win, but they just don't want to or are too scared to say it out loud.  I don't think many Democrats *legitimately* think they are losing
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2395 on: November 02, 2020, 07:32:23 AM »
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM




What does this mean?

Also this person says they got a crazy result but then says "if" they got a 15 pt lead, making me think he doesn't even know what it was. Also, his grammar is terrible, so who even is he?
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charcuterie
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« Reply #2396 on: November 02, 2020, 08:55:31 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2020, 07:32:23 AM
Quote from: Horus on November 01, 2020, 08:50:52 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 01, 2020, 08:38:19 PM



What does this mean?

Also this person says they got a crazy result but then says "if" they got a 15 pt lead, making me think he doesn't even know what it was. Also, his grammar is terrible, so who even is he?
I'm pretty sure it's just a random twitter user speculating.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #2397 on: November 02, 2020, 09:40:50 AM »
It’s going to be absolute bedlam tomorrow night.

I don’t use that word lightly.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #2398 on: November 02, 2020, 09:48:52 AM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on November 02, 2020, 09:40:50 AM
It’s going to be absolute bedlam tomorrow night.

I don’t use that word lightly.

For as much as we butt heads at times, DTT: I get the feeling that you're on the mark. 

(And I kinda can't wait...)
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Buzz
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« Reply #2399 on: November 02, 2020, 10:34:30 AM »
Tomorrow night will be 2020 personified
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