Youth Vote

[Pennsylvania Deplorable]

I knew Trump would do better than Romney with young voters, but I didn't expect him to win them in WI or IA. The age gap now is mostly just the result of younger voters being less likely to be married and less likely to be white. According to some studies, Gen Z (teenagers right now) is less liberal than Gen X or the Millennials. My anecdotal observations back this, as well. Perhaps the democrat party's grip on college towns will soon go the way of its grip on union towns.

Probably not. Clinton was uniquely out of touch and the alt-right gave enthusiastic support to Trump in order to get recognition. If this was Bernie vs Jeb, it would have been even more lopsided than Obama vs McCain.

[Pennsylvania Deplorable]

Children of a hispanic and a white parent will simply be classified as Hispanic by the census bureau because hispanic heritage is a separate question from race. While most hispanics are themselves mixed (mestizo and mulatto really ought to be racial categories on the census and the current question eliminated), many hispanics are white and white hispanics are far more likely to marry non-hispanic whites than mestizos are. Thus, you'll see an increasing number of whites who still are considered hispanic by the government (75% German and 25% white Cuban will still be called hispanic and lumped in with mestizos). White hispanics are more likely to be republican than other hispanics, and often don't speak Spanish well, if at all. Classifying them as being more similar to a native Mesoamerican than an Italian just makes no sense racially or politically.

The census is adding a Middle Eastern/North African category (finally) in 2020. Maybe they'll fix this in 2030.