KY-PPP: Republicans (except Cruz) slightly ahead of Hillary (user search)
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  KY-PPP: Republicans (except Cruz) slightly ahead of Hillary (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-PPP: Republicans (except Cruz) slightly ahead of Hillary  (Read 3071 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: December 21, 2013, 01:53:35 AM »
49-43 Paul/Clinton

46-42 Bush/Clinton

44-40 Christie/Clinton

44-41 Clinton/Cruz

December 12-15, 2013
Survey of 1,509 Kentucky voters

http://www.scribd.com/document_downloads/192171096?extension=pdf&from=embed&source=embed
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: December 21, 2013, 01:57:24 AM »
Here's the trend:

In the Dec. 2012 PPP poll from KY, Hillary led Paul by 5 (47-42).

In their April 2013 poll, the race was tied 45-45.

And now she's down by 6.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2013, 02:03:50 AM »
I think there could be 4 reasons for this trend:

* A) Benghazi - With more people aware of the situation, Hillary might have dropped.

* B) The general drop in favour for the Democrats in recent months.

* C) the margin of error

* D) the fact that Rand Paul is now seen as a more likely 2016 candidate, which leads more people in KY to take him serious. (the previous polls showed that people didn't want Paul to run in 2016, that figure is now much higher).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2013, 02:17:40 AM »
New map:



304 Clinton
234 Christie
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: January 04, 2014, 01:56:34 AM »
« Edited: January 04, 2014, 01:58:29 AM by Tender Branson »
Why do you post this again ?

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=184307.0

Edit: merged
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