Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)  (Read 25985 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: April 19, 2016, 02:55:56 PM »

Sanders telling a crowd in Eerie that he's going to win Pennsylvania. Looks like he knows how tonight is headed...
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: April 19, 2016, 03:17:01 PM »

Expectations games at this point don't matter unless you don't care about winning.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: April 19, 2016, 04:13:34 PM »

From ABC:

Caution: Exit poll results this evening may change significantly after 9 p.m.

This is because polling places in 50 of the state’s counties – outside the New York City area and Buffalo – opened at noon. People in those counties with day jobs can’t vote until after work, so they won’t be included in early exit poll results.

We don’t know if this will change the post-9 p.m. exit poll data, but it could. So consider the data that are available from 5-9 p.m. as especially preliminary, and check back for updates.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: April 19, 2016, 04:21:32 PM »

56% are college graduates.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2016, 05:06:09 PM »

MSNBC made that note that the first round of exit polls were almost exclusively from New York City.

lol there's no way whites are 60% of the vote in NYC... MSNBC is wrong

Buffalo and partial upstate numbers are probably factoring in as well, meaning the white vote statewide will probably be in the mid or high 60s.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2016, 05:38:24 PM »


Well, that's weird.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2016, 05:49:12 PM »

From FOX:

On the Democratic side, Clinton was leading among Hispanic voters, 57-43 percent.

But among the under 30 crowd, Sanders was dominating 69-31 percent, exit polls showed.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2016, 05:53:42 PM »

Interesting...

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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2016, 05:59:59 PM »

@ryangrim says 54-46 Clinton in exits

He's a HuffPost reporter that's posted some pretty accurate leaked exits in the past few contests

Great, now Wulfric's going to have a field day.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2016, 06:04:02 PM »

@ryangrim says 54-46 Clinton in exits

He's a HuffPost reporter that's posted some pretty accurate leaked exits in the past few contests

I dont know, his Wisconsin top line leak was way off.

He had:
Sanders 53 (actual 56)
Clinton 46 (43)

Cruz 47 (48)
Trump 35 (35)
Kasich 15 (14)

Not way off at all.  I think these leaks are the actual exit poll top-lines


Plus the exit polls update throughout the night, so the initial toplines may have been matching.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2016, 07:01:04 PM »

So we're looking at something roughly between 52-48 and 56-44?

We have no idea yet since these exit polls are pretty unreliable.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2016, 08:01:00 PM »

I think I calculated this right:

Clinton - 51.96
Sanders - 47.62
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2016, 08:31:05 PM »

Looks like the exit polls heavily relied on Buffalo.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #13 on: April 19, 2016, 08:54:37 PM »

CNN updated its exit poll, now 55.67-44.33.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #14 on: April 19, 2016, 11:26:12 PM »

I think Clinton gave a very good speech tonight, and I'm pretty confident she'll able to successfully gather Democrats together for the general.
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