The absentee/early vote thread

[Yank2133]

Those CO numbers are insane.

[Yank2133]

So NC went R in 2012 and the AA vote is down right now by 18% yet you all are saying NC looks great for HRC right now? Obama lost in 2012 by 1-2% and the AA vote was 18% higher at this time last year no matter the reason for the lower turnout, yet NC again looks so good for her? Please explain.

She is offsetting the decline AA with college educated whites.

[Yank2133]

Oh actually this graph is better (from http://www.insight-us.org/blog/north-carolinas-early-voting-2016-dashboard/)


Nice! Thanks for the update on where the state stands right now, Trump has to have that one.

You're making the false assumption that all Whites will vote for Trump in the same way they did for Romney, especially in the case for White Republican women.

This.

He has actually doing far worse then Romney did with white voters.

[Yank2133]

Jon Ralston ‏@RalstonReports  3m3 minutes ago
Turnout going to be low today in Clark, but maybe better than Mon. 5,600 had voted by 11. Was 4,500 on Mon. I bet Dems are nervous.

He's already said he banked on today being low, due to historic trends in EV there. He's not forecasting with that last phrase, he's trolling. That's not to say the numbers will or won't end up okay by week's end, but he's having fun right now.

And it will work too.

[Yank2133]

So Hillary is personally headed to Detroit not a surrogate on Fri. for EV rally.

She's playing prevent defense. This state is being swarmed by Trump and his ilk all week. Ivanka, Eric and Donald Jr. are all making stops here. Trump himself was just here yesterday. I think they know PA is unlikely to flip, so they need a game-changer in MI, WI, CO or VA.

That and they need to rally AA voters, they are slagging a bit with them.