2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original

[GlobeSoc]

It infuriates and perplexes me that the ''enthusiasm gap'' exists. Republican Democratic voters have no logical reason to not be enthusiastic to vote. The threat of an enemy victory should make you MORE determined to vote, not less. I don't care if you're disappointed with TrumpObama. You don't cut your nose off to spite your face, which is exactly what you are doing if you stay home because you're not completely satisfied with Trump Obama or the Republican Democratic Congress.

There are some things that are beyond our control. This is not one of them.

-Democrats in 2010

[GlobeSoc]

According to that poll, the only shifts from 2016 (comparing Hillary-Trump vs D-R now) are among uneducated white people. every other group is roughly the same as in 2016. according to the poll, they are 8 points more D than in 2016

which, granted, are about 45% of the electorate and even more heavily concentrated in many of the swing senate seats

The D demographics, even if the margin doesn't change among them, should represent a bigger share of the electorate and thus shift the country left anyway. Combine that with a shift to dems among WWC with lower turnout from them and you've got yourself a wave

[GlobeSoc]

Probably people who want Democrats to be able to block legislation but not judges.

That seems overly generous to the political awareness of the average voter.

To be fair you'd only need 1% of the population to have that thinking and everyone else to have consistent answers to get that result

[GlobeSoc]

Seems like an attempt to intimidate DCCC out of NE-02

[GlobeSoc]

IIRC there was what we would call nowadays a reverse age gap on attitudes towards the Vietnam War, unsurprising since the youth at the time were the conservative baby boomers and the seniors were the ultra-liberal GI generation.