Maggie Hassan fav: 50/43 (+7)
Favorabilities:
Sununu - 67/31 (+36)
I think people (not just Cillizza, but most observers) are going to be very surprised by how vulnerable Hassan will turn out to be in 2022. Yes, it’s early and obviously Sununu's popularity will decline to some extent during a Senate campaign, but it’s hard to see her pulling off another win in a Biden midterm if he runs (and he’s not the only Republican who would make the race competitive).
Many act like this will be a Tossup at best for Republicans (and even then closer to Tilt/Lean D), but I don’t think this one is guaranteed to be all that close and/or competitive, honestly. Democrats might have a better chance of holding/flipping GA and picking up PA.
It will definitely be close and competitive.
