I'm cautious to say it's a toss-up, but no more than lean Republican at this point. Beto has plenty of time to make up the final few points that are missing, but I don't know how hard this is. The best strategy is probably to focus on the suburbs Trump just barely won.
TN, MS are better pickups
This wasn't really a battleground state to begin with
These polls show a real tight race because Senator Cruz is sticking with McConnell, I don't know how to read these polls but being aligned with McConnell so closely, is not helpful
Pretty cool analysis, all in a single thread within a single day.