Drop-Out Poll, 9/21/15

[Blue3]

Jindal & Santorum are somewhat serious and in it to win it.

And they really aren't going anywhere.

Between them, Jindal, because Santorum knows how he rose for a time last cycle and might be holding out that hope again (even with Huckabee and Carson in the mix).



Aside from them, I think: Christie, Paul, Huckabee, Kasich may all be considering it. But none are doing bad enough to really do it yet, I think.

The people not trying to win (Pataki, Gilmore, Graham) will stay in as long as they want, however long that is.

There could be an out-of-nowhere dropout, like Jeb, but that probably isn't coming next.

[Blue3]

I can't imagine anyone from the Kiddie Table dropping out right now. There's a chance to be invited to the next main debate if they weather the storm.

But the RNC said the next debate will probably only invite 8 or fewer people.