Non-Gallup/Rasmussen tracking polls thread

[Tender Branson]

Zogster
Obama 50.3%(+.5)
McCain 42.4%(-2)

Obama leads McCain by 15 points among independent voters (50% to 35%), and is also winning 12% of the Republican vote, all the while retaining a firm grip on his Democratic base, winning 87% support from members of his own party. McCain wins 84% of the Republican vote.

Obama leads by 21 points among those who have already voted, and also maintains a large lead among those who have registered to vote just in the last six months. He leads by two points among men and by 13 among women. He also leads in all but one age demographic - those aged 55-69 - where McCain has a scant one-point edge.

Obama leads 55% to 40% among Catholics, while McCain leads by a 53% to 41% margin among Protestants. McCain also leads among those who consider themselves to be Born Again, or Evangelicals.

[ChrisFromNJ]

Zogster
Obama 50.3%(+.5)
McCain 42.4%(-2)

ZOGBY SHOCK: OBAMA UP 8

[J. J.]

Today ABC News and Washington Post released a daily tracking poll.

likely voters:

Obama 53 % (nc)
McCain 44 % (+1)

registered voters:

Obama 52 %
McCain 42 %

"The Post-ABC national tracking poll started Oct. 16, the day after the final presidential debate, and continues through Nov. 3. Each day's release includes the results of a multiple-night track - a "rolling average" - of interviews with approximately 450 randomly-selected adults each day. This release reports the results from interviewing conducted Thursday through Sunday night, with 1,366 likely voters."

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/behind-the-numbers/2008/10/wapo-abc_daily_tracking_1.html

By the way...  Hello to erverybody from germany!

Wow!  Looks awesome!  Can you spell L A N D S L I D E?

The race is widening, not tightening.  More proof here.  Don't believe the BS media hype.  They want you to think it's tightening because it increases the drama and increases their ratings.  This race is not tightening.

WELCOME TO THE ATLAS FORUM ANDRE!

Ah, if you're using this poll, the margin just dropped.

[Lief 🗽]

Zogster
Obama 50.3%(+.5)
McCain 42.4%(-2)

ZOGBY SHOCK: OBAMA UP 8

[Sam Spade]

GWBattleground - 10/21
Obama 48 (-1)
McCain 47 (+2)

[ChrisFromNJ]

GWBattleground - 10/21
Obama 48
McCain 47

The Freeps found their new favorite poll.

Zogby last wekk, Battleground this week.

Who will it be next week?

[Sam Spade]

Diageo Hotline Poll
Obama 47% (nc)
McCain 41% (-1)

[TheGlobalizer]

GWBattleground - 10/21
Obama 48
McCain 47

The Freeps found their new favorite poll.

Zogby last wekk, Battleground this week.

Who will it be next week?

GW/Battleground leans R.  They've been 2-4 points redder than the field a number of times in the past few months.

[Eraserhead]

Zogster
Obama 50.3%(+.5)
McCain 42.4%(-2)

ZOGBY SHOCK: OBAMA UP 8

lol

[J. J.]

I'm not seeing any great trend going to either candidate.

[Lunar]

Not even this one?

[J. J.]

Not even this one?

No, I doubt that the race will freeze for two weeks.

[Sam Spade]

IBD/TIPP for 10/21 (10/16-10/20)

McCain 40.9%  (-0.5%)
Obama 46.9% (+0.2%)
Undecided 13.2% (+0.3%)

[André]

ABC/ Washington Post

likely voters:

Obama 53 % (nc)
McCain 44 % (nc)

registered voters:

Obama 52 % (nc)
McCain 42 % (nc)

[J. J.]

NBC/WSJ

Obama:  52

McCain:  42

[freedomburns]

The race is either static at this point, or widening for Obama.  From what I see, it seems to be slowly widening for Obama.

[J. J.]

The race is either static at this point, or widening for Obama.  From what I see, it seems to be slowly widening for Obama.

The ABC poll shows no change.  There is a slight opening of Gallup and none on Rasmussen.  BG, FWIW, is a one point margin.  TIPP hasn't move a point.  Zogby is Zogby.

[Reds4]

It seems that the Powell announcement is helping Obama in these most recent polls. The NBC poll was the most surprising to me.

[J. J.]

It seems that the Powell announcement is helping Obama in these most recent polls. The NBC poll was the most surprising to me.

Actually, the last poll was two weeks ago, so it isn't catching anything current, and some of the sample might have been before that.

[Sam Spade]

ZOGBY: OBAMA TAKES 10-POINT LEAD... DEVELOPING...

[Eraserhead]

ZOGBY: OBAMA TAKES 10-POINT LEAD... DEVELOPING...

Damn, I'm surprised Drudge actually put that up.

[ChrisFromNJ]

ZOGBY: OBAMA TAKES 10-POINT LEAD... DEVELOPING...

[Sam Spade]

ZOGBY: OBAMA TAKES 10-POINT LEAD... DEVELOPING...

Damn, I'm surprised Drudge actually put that up.

I should have put it in much larger font.

[Sam Spade]

ZOGBY: OBAMA TAKES 10-POINT LEAD... DEVELOPING...

Damn, I'm surprised Drudge actually put that up.

I should have put it in much larger font.

Also, the most amusing thing is trying to connect a 10-point national lead with Zogby's interactive polls...   It's silly.

[Tender Branson]

Zogby/Reuters/C-SPAN - Wednesday, October 22:

Obama: 52 (+2)
McCain: 42 (nc)

“Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans. Obama wins 85% support from Democrats, and 11% of Republicans. McCain wins 83% of the Republican vote, and 10% of the Democratic vote.”

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1604