NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (user search)
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  NJ-GOV 2021 megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NJ-GOV 2021 megathread  (Read 51450 times)
LimoLiberal
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Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« on: November 02, 2021, 08:34:36 PM »
Murphy is doing ~18 points worse in Gloucester county than in 2017.

If repeated statewide, he loses.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2021, 08:45:40 PM »
He could legitimately lose. He's doing terrible in Gloucester and Ocean.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2021, 08:52:20 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on November 02, 2021, 08:50:50 PM
Some of the blue counties are reporting next to nothing.

Bergen, which had Murphy +15 in 2017 with 200K+ votes is reporting... 2,000 votes right now.

But what if Ciattarelli wins Bergen...
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2021, 09:33:31 PM »
Ciattarelli's margin up to 53,000 votes.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2021, 09:38:18 PM »
I guarantee you VBM has been counted in several counties.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2021, 09:49:04 PM »
Places where Ciattarelli will net votes:

Sussex - ~12,000
Warren - ~9,000
Somerset - ~8,000
Cumberland - ~5,000
Salem - ~3,000

That's 32,000 net votes there on top of the 56,000 vote lead.

Going to PredictIt right now.
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LimoLiberal
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,535


Political Matrix
E: -3.71, S: -4.00
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2021, 11:04:06 PM »
Quote from: Josh Shapiro for Governor on November 02, 2021, 11:01:08 PM
According to ABC, there are over 500K absentees that are left to be counted.

I don't think that's true.
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