rbt48
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,060
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« on: January 11, 2017, 11:03:01 PM » |
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Hard to disagree with California for the Democrats, though Hawaii could be a strong contender.
For the Republicans, I have to consider several factors (well, same for Dems as well)
- Dominance in statewide elected offices and the state legislature
- Dominance in population centers across the state and in rural areas
- Control of Senate and House seats
Wyoming, Oklahoma, Utah, and Arkansas are at the top of my list. They have no Democratic areas in the state (Tennessee has Nashville and Memphis, Missouri has St Louis and KC, West Virginia has a Democratic governor).
Of my top four, I will go with Utah as it is (I think) least likely to elect a Democrat statewide or to Congress. Arkansas is strongly tending in this direction, but has fairly recently elected Democrats. Wyoming, Tennessee, and Oklahoma have in the past dozen years elected Democratic governors and could do so again (though perhaps not likely).
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