Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1

[YE]

At the end of the day, tonight was a good night for Dems. But this bonds terribly for future elections. TERRIBLY.

Not really. Dems winning enough states for 270+ electoral votes...

Dems winning the popular vote by a good margin...

The only really bad thing is gerrymandering and the rural bias of the Senate.

And that is a massive problem.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Carolyn Bourdeaux is still leading in GA-07 with 84% in-this is looking like a flip folks.

It helps that Forsyth is done.

[libertpaulian]

LOL, I couldn't care less if Dems "underperform expectations" or not. They won the House. Therefore they won. Enjoy the "optics" circlejerk conservatives, I'll be enjoying killing the Trump/Republican agenda for at least 2 years.

LOL, exactly! The GOP can sit on their hands for the next two years. Their +2 in the Senate or whatever will be real useful when they can't pass a single bill!

No, but Clarence Thomas can retire next year.

[Wisconsin SC Race 2019]

Can I get Horfoid's take on Democrats currently leading in all 4 Iowa seats?

Counting bias in King's district. I shouldn't have to explain that. 

[MillennialModerate]

Arizona and Nevada are absolute musts.

The Senate is gone until 2024... it’s even worse if they lose that.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

She would have done about as good as Joe Donnelly and Claire McCaskill and Phil Bredesen.

[Crumpets]

I don't think this is up anywhere yet, but Rossi is going DOWN. He's currently trailing by 15 (!) points. Early returns in WA tends to skew conservative/incumbent.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/CongressionalDistrict8.html

[BundouYMB]

LOL, I couldn't care less if Dems "underperform expectations" or not. They won the House. Therefore they won. Enjoy the "optics" circlejerk conservatives, I'll be enjoying killing the Trump/Republican agenda for at least 2 years.

LOL, exactly! The GOP can sit on their hands for the next two years. Their +2 in the Senate or whatever will be real useful when they can't pass a single bill!

No, but Clarence Thomas can retire next year.

Clarence Thomas is only 70. It would be very strange for him to retire.

[YE]

Can King actually lose?

[IceSpear]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

Yep. The Graham fanboys were right all along. Looks like Gillum dragged down Nelson with him.

[Bidenworth2020]

how is az looking?

[The Free North]

At the end of the day, tonight was a good night for Dems. But this bonds terribly for future elections. TERRIBLY.

Not really. Dems winning enough states for 270+ electoral votes...

Dems winning the popular vote by a good margin...

The only really bad thing is gerrymandering and the rural bias of the Senate.

And that is a massive problem.

But it didnt use to be when Dems had 2 senators from ND, a senate leader from SD and could win in races basically everywhere.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

According to CNN, Jeff Van Drew is losing to an open Nazi.

I don't know whether to be shocked or sad.

I think that is because Atlantic City has not reported. It is 0% reporting on NYT in the Senate race at least, so I assume it hasn't reported in the House. But all the vote counts are different, so hard to tell. But in general the votes out are not representative in most races.

[Beet]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

She would have done about as good as Joe Donnelly and Claire McCaskill and Phil Bredesen.

No, Florida is not a Trump +20 state.

[indietraveler]

Blum is DONE according to CNN's map online.

[MT Treasurer]

McCaskill is gone, thank goodness!

[😥]

Gwen Graham would have won, and pulled over Nelson. Would have changed the flavor of the whole night.

Yep. The Graham fanboys were right all along. Looks like Gillum dragged down Nelson with him.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

People say candidate quality doesn't matter but if so why did Tenny lose and Katko win?

In part because Dems spent many many millions less on trying to beat Katko. Yes, candidate quality does make a difference though, but there are also other differences.

[Ye We Can]

DAVIS LEADING BY 3 IN IL 13 RETRACT THE CALL

[Pyro]

Manchin appears to be the sole survivor of the Great Blue Dog Death of 2018

[indietraveler]

Can King actually lose?

It's one of those you won't believe it until you see it. This will be his most narrow win.

[Panda Express]

[Comrade Funk]

Scott Wallace was such a bad candidate.

[Tintrlvr]

I don't think this is up anywhere yet, but Rossi is going DOWN. He's currently trailing by 15 (!) points. Early returns in WA tends to skew conservative/incumbent.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/CongressionalDistrict8.html

Yeah, that's a terrible result for Rossi. Seems very likely Schrier wins. Also bodes well for the Orange County seats I think...

[IceSpear]

MJ Hegar is leading Carter!