YouGov does have a +1.6 D house effect, but this is not good at all. I told you guys Murphy was going to end up winning, but "hurr durr Rubio is as safe as Portman." Now you see it. I will hate Donald Trump more for taking down Rubio than for anything else he did.
Yeah, this poll totally proves that Murphy will end up winning. This reminds me of all the talk about the super-close FL Senate race in 2012, and in the end Nelson won in a landslide.
So you are saying there is a shy Democratic effect in Florida and both Clinton and Murphy will over-perform their polling average? Good to know!
