2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 190624 times)
Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1325 on: September 28, 2020, 04:13:57 PM »

New TIPP, PA Biden +5 lol

If you seriously think you know what’s going to happen next month, you’re a political hack.


Isn't +5 pretty much in line with the PA polling average right now, though?

It's +4.7 over at RCP, +4.9 at 538.  

Not exactly a wild and crazy Trumpy number from TIPP.  

No. But not the +7, +8, +9 I see being wish casted in this thread!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #1326 on: September 28, 2020, 04:21:51 PM »

New TIPP, PA Biden +5 lol

If you seriously think you know what’s going to happen next month, you’re a political hack.


Isn't +5 pretty much in line with the PA polling average right now, though?

It's +4.7 over at RCP, +4.9 at 538.  

Not exactly a wild and crazy Trumpy number from TIPP.  

No. But not the +7, +8, +9 I see being wish casted in this thread!

A +9 *did* just get released by NYT/Siena.  But I would be surprised if Biden's margin of victory was that large. 
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1327 on: September 28, 2020, 04:24:45 PM »

Monmouth released, Biden +5

It’s like we actually have a somewhat competitive race....

The Hill just joined Monmouth with Biden +5 in the General.

I’d be getting worried, Liberals. Deny the tightening polls until the very moment you can’t.
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redjohn
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« Reply #1328 on: September 28, 2020, 04:42:22 PM »

Monmouth released, Biden +5

It’s like we actually have a somewhat competitive race....

The Hill just joined Monmouth with Biden +5 in the General.

I’d be getting worried, Liberals. Deny the tightening polls until the very moment you can’t.

Biden leading by 9 in the state that will decide the election is so worrying for Democrats. Give it up, Trump got lucky in 2016 and he's going to lose.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #1329 on: September 28, 2020, 04:45:37 PM »

Stop responding to the obvious troll
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ucscgaldamez1
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« Reply #1330 on: September 29, 2020, 12:52:47 AM »

Monmouth released, Biden +5

It’s like we actually have a somewhat competitive race....

The Hill just joined Monmouth with Biden +5 in the General.

I’d be getting worried, Liberals. Deny the tightening polls until the very moment you can’t.

Leading is better than falling behind...if the polls are better than they were in 2016, and not much changes between now and the next few weeks, I would rather be ahead than behind... if you are behind 3-4 pts the day before the election, you will need a huge group of undecided voters to help you win, and most of them do not like Trump.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1331 on: September 29, 2020, 03:03:59 AM »



Might be getting a NYT/Siena one too:


Map looks like a decent Biden lead.

cant wait to see the PA + 10 or more poll from NY times

Aside from the obvious giant cities (the two P's) I can follow I-376 through Pittsburgh, I-78 and I-81 from Easton to Harrisburg, the Northeast Extension of the Pennsylvania Turnpike (I-476), I-79 to the exurbs of Pittsburgh, PA-51 to the southeast of Pittsburgh, and US-222 rather well.

Where the people are, Trump is losing. Unfortunately for Trump, the road-kill deer on I-80 and the more rural sections of the Pennsylvania Turnpike don't count in this election.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1332 on: September 29, 2020, 03:06:36 AM »

I can only imagine how the maps look for Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, North Carolina, and Texas.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #1333 on: September 29, 2020, 08:35:31 AM »

Susquehanna joint Trafalgar....+2 Biden Wisconsin

Lol at people writing this state off from Trump. He may not win it, but he’s competitive in the state. Don’t be a fool and suggest otherwise.
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Granite City
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« Reply #1334 on: September 29, 2020, 10:26:47 AM »

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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1335 on: September 29, 2020, 10:31:58 AM »

Was Trump +6/+7 in their Sept. 2016 poll.

I predict Trump+2.
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Horus
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« Reply #1336 on: September 29, 2020, 10:40:44 AM »

I'll guess Trump +4
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1337 on: September 29, 2020, 10:48:50 AM »

In case anyone is wondering, Quinnipiac usually drops polls at 2pm Eastern time.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1338 on: September 29, 2020, 11:31:47 AM »

Trump+21 because of ACB and the pre-debate bump.
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VAR
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« Reply #1339 on: September 29, 2020, 12:58:57 PM »

Quinnipiac is not a good pollster, I wouldn’t be surprised if we get Biden +4.
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Buzz
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« Reply #1340 on: September 29, 2020, 01:03:30 PM »

Quinnipiac is dem biased.  It will show a tie.
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redjohn
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« Reply #1341 on: September 29, 2020, 05:08:42 PM »

These past couple days have been atrocious for Trump polling-wise. Biden leading in GA, giant lead in PA, big leads in WI+MI. Biden leading NE-02 by an impressive margin. Trump needs something major to save his sinking ship.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #1342 on: September 29, 2020, 05:10:16 PM »

These past couple days have been atrocious for Trump polling-wise. Biden leading in GA, giant lead in PA, big leads in WI+MI. Biden leading NE-02 by an impressive margin. Trump needs something major to save his sinking ship.
Maybe a second GOYA BUMP?
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Splash
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« Reply #1343 on: September 29, 2020, 05:11:10 PM »

These past couple days have been atrocious for Trump polling-wise. Biden leading in GA, giant lead in PA, big leads in WI+MI. Biden leading NE-02 by an impressive margin. Trump needs something major to save his sinking ship.
Maybe a second GOYA BUMP?

I don't know; I think a Biden hearing aid bump is more likely.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1344 on: September 29, 2020, 05:12:25 PM »

These past couple days have been atrocious for Trump polling-wise. Biden leading in GA, giant lead in PA, big leads in WI+MI. Biden leading NE-02 by an impressive margin. Trump needs something major to save his sinking ship.

Honestly, I'm not sure what. The worst isn't even over yet for him. NYT is holding onto his tax returns until after the debate, and COVID-19 is heading into another wave thanks to bad administration and the start of the flu season.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #1345 on: September 30, 2020, 10:15:33 AM »


Trump +5, Harrison +1 is my prediction.
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Horus
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« Reply #1346 on: September 30, 2020, 10:18:10 AM »

Trump by 8, tie for the Senate
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1347 on: September 30, 2020, 10:53:26 AM »

Trump+7, tie in the Senate
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #1348 on: September 30, 2020, 11:37:37 AM »

Quinnipiac has generally had better numbers for Biden in the South than most other pollsters, so I'll say Trump +4, Harrison +1
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1349 on: September 30, 2020, 01:59:00 PM »

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