Sabato: Initial 2016 Senate ratings (user search)
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  Sabato: Initial 2016 Senate ratings (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato: Initial 2016 Senate ratings  (Read 4825 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« on: December 11, 2014, 02:29:18 AM »
Just for context, these were Sabato's ratings in April 2013.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43
« Reply #1 on: December 11, 2014, 04:37:33 PM »
Quote from: Citizen (The) Doctor on December 11, 2014, 02:34:15 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on December 11, 2014, 02:29:18 AM
Just for context, these were Sabato's ratings in April 2013.



With 2012-style turnout that was probably true.

But 2014 wasn't a presidential year. Just like 2016 is not a midterm year. And even with presidential year turnout, Pryor would've lost by double digits. The fact that Arkansas was "lean D" just shows how fragile these early ratings are.
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