NH-ARG daily tracking poll thread (user search)
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  NH-ARG daily tracking poll thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-ARG daily tracking poll thread  (Read 7926 times)
Kingpoleon
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Posts: 22,144
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« on: February 06, 2016, 05:16:08 AM »

I think maybe what happened in Iowa is that pollsters severely overrated Trump's chances. With the exception of Rubio's strong third place, the Cruz-Trump margin looked pretty similar to what the polls were saying before Trump's supposed final week surge, when Cruz was leading.
Atlas:

So, cancel out a week for NH, plus Cruz's "Trump Challenger Effect", which means... Kasich beats Trump by 5!
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