WI-Marquette: Baldwin +2 (user search)
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  WI-Marquette: Baldwin +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Baldwin +2  (Read 3589 times)
Arkansas Yankee
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Posts: 1,175
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« on: August 22, 2018, 02:32:45 PM »

This poll would seem to be an outlier till confirmed.

An interesting poll statistic is that GOP enthusiasm has passed Democrat enthusiasm 69% to 67%.  Independents are at 56%.

Looking back to the 2016 polling in the Johnson/Feingold race, may shed some light.   As you remember most polls throughout the year showed Feingold with a fair lead.

However, the last Marquette poll covering 10/26 through 10/31 showed tightening.  Among 1,190 LV Feingold led 45% to 44%.  Among 1401 RV he led 43% to 42%.

During the whole year only 3 Survey Monkey polls during the last 10 days showed Johnson with a 1 or 2% lead.  Survey Monkey may have better reliability than some of realize.  

Here is the link to the 2016 polling:

 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Wisconsin,_2016
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