PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Clinton +9 (user search)

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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls

PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Clinton +9 (search mode)

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Topic: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Clinton +9 (Read 6824 times)

‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,867

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« on: September 17, 2016, 07:13:25 PM »

Never heard of this pollster... Probably junk. C+5 sounds more like it

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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,867

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2016, 07:15:55 PM »

But muh Trump surge?!?

Never heard of this pollster... Probably junk. C+5 sounds more like it

A rating on 538

Oh. Oh my... Still tempted to say this is an outlier, but I wouldn't be shocked to see C+7 given this, and C+5 or so nationally (agrees with Gallup)

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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,867

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2016, 07:51:20 PM »

Give that the MOE is 5.5%, I think C+7 makes some sense as a result.

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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member

Posts: 1,867

Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2016, 10:37:48 PM »

400 LV = Not enough sample size for PA (Could be ok for NV,NH but not for PA)

good try... this is still outside the 99% confident MOE, much less the 95%. PA is trending Clinton

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