VA-GOV 2017: It's a Wave (GE: Nov 7th - Thread #2)

[smoltchanov]

Yeah, I'm growing more confident that Northam will win. He was shaky in the past week but the polls have shown he is stabilizing, better yet, they are showing that he is winning undecideds. Plus this is a Democrat state, folks.

I never bought the last argument. Vermont and Massachussetts are, surely, Democratic states. That didn't prevented Baker and Scott from winning. And vice versa - Wyoming being Republican state didn't prevented Freudentahl from winning in 2002 and 2006

[smoltchanov]

If Gillespie loses the race, I'm looking forward to some post-Ossoff-like handwringing from Republicans who got their hopes up.

And, I seem to remember an election 52 weeks ago today in which the Democratic candidate had had a bit of bad news which lead to the Republican candidate surging in the polls. Around the final weekend, the polls suggested that the Democratic candidate had stabilized her position with a small, but, significant and persistent lead. The Republican candidate won.

If Gillespie wins tomorrow, some folks are going to be howling at the moon a night early.

Bob, Virginia doesn't have an Electoral College....