PA-08 (GQR-Cartwright internal): Cartwright +6

[wbrocks67]

If you adjust this, you likely get about Cartwright's 2020 result which would be interesting but not surprising, given that Bognet already lost the first round and as of right now - results are looking quite similar to 2020s.

I don't think he'll win by 6, however Bognet's bad internal from right before Dobbs also confirmed that this is Cartwright's race to lose.

[wbrocks67]

I'm rather confused at this take.

"Cartwright, a known incumbent, is ahead of Bognet, who is also known, and has been running ads for months now without any response from Bognet, but yes as soon Bognet starts running ads (when will that be?) he will 100% take the lead!"

Just seems nonsensical at this point. If anything, Cartwright has been able to boost himself and hurt Bognet for months and we're supposed to believe that's supposed to change just bc Bognet starts airing some ads?

https://twitter.com/HWLavelleMaps/status/1559564138032111616

[wbrocks67]

Of note as well, Democrats narrowly outvoted Republicans in the primary, despite GOP side being competitive and Dem side not.