State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (user search)
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  State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: State Legislature Special Election Megathread v3  (Read 136555 times)
ultraviolet
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

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« on: April 16, 2024, 08:51:38 PM »

Both seats are safe, then we can work on NPV compact
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ultraviolet
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,951
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -3.22

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2024, 06:15:12 PM »

Dem overperformed Biden by 2% or so in HD25. Still waiting on Macomb numbers in the other for a comparison, but Wayne is good for Dems which is why the seat is held.

Edit: NYT seemingly has Macomb but nobody else including the counties own site, Xiong outperformed Biden by about 3% in HD13.

Xiong’s performance was very impressive despite low Detroit turnout. She’d be a a top-tier recruit to take on John James one day.

Can a Michiganer confirm or deny if she intends to run for the new 13th district? The changes to the state House map to correct for minority access issues didn't change the over partisan seat counts of the map (not a surprise) but it did lurch the 13th specifically towards the Republicans. It would make sense that Dems sought a strong candidates early to hold the seat in November.  

No idea but she probably should. Looks to be becoming a D+5 seat instead of D+30. She'd definitely be favored as an incumbent based on her performances in the northern, white parts of the current seat. Those parts overlap with the new district, so being stronger there than in the Wayne County precincts is a good sign for her.
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