538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely (user search)
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  538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely (search mode)
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Author Topic: 538 Model Debut: 64% Chance of Republican Majority; R+7 Most Likely  (Read 3274 times)
Vosem
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« on: September 07, 2014, 05:29:29 PM »

Colorado and Iowa both flipped from the Republicans to the Democrats in the model today (though Iowa is at D+0 and 50/50; as close as you can get, basically), so R+7, viewed as the likeliest number-result, is now the result reflected in the model. (While a significant pickup for the Republicans, it might also be a bit ominous; every state voting the same way it did presidentially in 2012, except Collins being reelected in Maine).
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