buritobr
YaBB God
Posts: 3,695
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« on: July 14, 2015, 07:14:06 PM » |
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Consider that Tsipras become a popular leader in Europe in 2017 and that following Syriza and Podemos, many Europeans start considering new left parties better option than traditional center-left parties. Consider that although most of the Germans aprove Merkel, they consider that 12 years is enough and that AFD become an alternative for the right instead of the traditional CDU/CSU.
So, consider this result for the federal election in 2017 (between ( ), the % of the seats in the Bundestag)
CDU/CSU 30% (30.9%)
Linke 25% (25.8%)
SPD 18% (18.6%)
Grünen 11% (11.3%)
AFD 7% (7.2%)
FDP 6% (6.2%)
Others 3%
In this scenario, a grand coalition would not me possible anymore because CDU/CSU+SPD would have 49.5% of the seats. Only one coalition would be possible: rot-rot-grün. Considering that Linke had more votes than SPD and Grünen, this coalition should have a Linke leadership.
If the result is this one, will Germany have a Linke Chancellor leading a red-red-green coalition?
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