2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

VA-10 (Washington Post-Schar School Poll):

Wexton 54 (-2%)
Comstock 43 (+/-)

Kaine 58%
Confederate Corey 39%

Source

Folks, I can't even begin to say how stupid this is:

https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2018/10/17/virginia-10th-race-comstock-wexton-dean-ebof-dnt-vpx.cnn

If anyone of you are Comstock fans and expect her to win, prepare to be disappointed barring a major development of catastrophic proportions for Wexton.

LOL Comstock is so behind, even the cautious Bagel believes she will lose.

Yeah, this race is Safe D.

snip

Yeah, we are about to witness Comstock entering near inevitable forced retirement.

54-44 loss would be my guess, and that's still being generous.

Oh and did I forget to mention that I will be watching and enjoying every second of her political demise in 18 days

Hopefully with a big tub of popcorn in the movie room too.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Tim Canova (I) - 34%
Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D) - 34%
Joe Kaufman (R) - 13%

According to "this"

Here's the joke of the day

https://twitter.com/Tim_Canova/status/1057711096235204608

[ON Progressive]

Tim Canova (I) - 34%
Debbie Wasserman-Schultz (D) - 34%
Joe Kaufman (R) - 13%

According to "this"

Here's the joke of the day

https://twitter.com/Tim_Canova/status/1057711096235204608

Did they only poll Tim Canova's family?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Anybody but Schultz, go Kaufman or Canova, or whoever besides her.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1058168688506007554

[IceSpear]

VA-10 (Washington Post-Schar School Poll):

Wexton 54 (-2%)
Comstock 43 (+/-)

Kaine 58%
Confederate Corey 39%

Source

Now would be a good time for Barb to drop some of that vaunted oppo research.

[RFK Jr.’s Brain Worm]

MT-AL is tied according to... Gravis. :/

[Ebsy]

Really does seem like Williams has the momentum going into election day. Will be pretty easy for those voting Tester to just vote for her as well.

[Person Man]

MT-AL is tied according to... Gravis. :/

Maybe his patented wrestling move is losing its effect?

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

[Gass3268]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

CNN has been releasing polls at noon. Maybe we get one today?

A lot of these might be waiting for the Sunday shows.

[Gass3268]

Emerson Iowa Polls

IA-01: Abby Finkenauer (D) 53%, Rod Blum (R-inc) 41%, 2% undecided
IA-02: Dave Loebsack (D-inc) 53%, Christopher Peters (R) 40%, 5% undecided
IA-03: Cindy Axne (D) 46%, David Young (R-inc) 45%, 6% undecided
IA-04: Steve King (R-inc) 51%, JD Scholten (D) 42%, 4% undecided

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Emerson Iowa Polls

IA-01: Abby Finkenauer (D) 53%, Rod Blum (R-inc) 41%, 2% undecided
IA-02: Dave Loebsack (D-inc) 53%, Christopher Peters (R) 40%, 5% undecided
IA-03: Cindy Axne (D) 46%, David Young (R-inc) 45%, 6% undecided
IA-04: Steve King (R-inc) 51%, JD Scholten (D) 42%, 4% undecided

These are surprisingly reasonable.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

[Gass3268]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

Oh, and New York.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

Oh, and New York.

New York? We’ve got plenty of those. Now Florida that is a place I’m curious about

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

Oh, and New York.

New York? We’ve got plenty of those. Now Florida that is a place I’m curious about

/s

[Zaybay]

Where the F are all my quality GCB polls? CNN? FOX? Pew? ABC/WaPo? Quinnipiac? Where are all of you people?

Did someone say more Texas polls?

We should poll Texas again just to make sure.

Oh, and New York.

New York? We’ve got plenty of those. Now Florida that is a place I’m curious about

Wait, you guys are looking at this all wrong. That CA governor race...maybe Cox can get into a single digit deficit!

[Yank2133]

Man, Trende is a hack. Dude is saying on twitter that Democrats high mark may be +32 and that the political environment isn’t that bad for Republicans.

The GOP may win the house, but assuming Democrats high mark is just +32 gives the game away.

[Person Man]

Man, Trende is a hack. Dude is saying on twitter that Democrats high mark may be +32 and that the political environment isn’t that bad for Republicans.

The GOP May win the house, but assuming Democrats high mark is just +32 gives the game away.

I wonder how much he handicapped the House race in 2006.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Man, Trende is a hack. Dude is saying on twitter that Democrats high mark may be +32 and that the political environment isn’t that bad for Republicans.

The GOP May win the house, but assuming Democrats high mark is just +32 gives the game away.

No, he isn't.  Read his feed closely.  He's saying that +32 is his current "hard count", i.e. best estimate.  But he's just published two articles to demonstrate equally plausible deviations from that:

Republicans hold the House

Democratic wave

[Yank2133]

Man, Trende is a hack. Dude is saying on twitter that Democrats high mark may be +32 and that the political environment isn’t that bad for Republicans.

The GOP May win the house, but assuming Democrats high mark is just +32 gives the game away.

No, he isn't.  Read his feed closely.  He's saying that +32 is his current "hard count", i.e. best estimate.  But he's just published two articles to demonstrate equally plausible deviations from that:

Republicans hold the House

Democratic wave

I stand corrected on the +32 point, but his point the environment is nonsense. Record number of retirements, president with under water approval ratings, being out raised by a 2 to 1 margin etc. These are bad fundamentals for any incumbent party.

[TarHeelDem]

Why anyone still takes Trende/RCP seriously is beyond me.

[Person Man]

Gun to my head, I would say 32 seats.