YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races (user search)
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  YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races (search mode)
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Author Topic: YouGov/NY Times/CBS News polls of all states with Gov. races  (Read 5226 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 28, 2014, 12:54:48 AM »

From what I remember, YouGov wasn't really that bad in both 2008 and 2012 with their state polls:

http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/2012%20Election%20results%20table_Actual_YouGovLV.pdf

But some of these polls here make not much sense, for example Maine-Gov. (which has Cutler in single-digits, or SD - which doesn't even include Pressler who has 15%+ in other polls).

YouGov is polling 3 more waves until November, so things might change a bit until then.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2014, 01:29:22 AM »

Yeah, Brownback SHOULD be safer than everyone on that list, but he definitely isn't...

Wish I could believe this, but there are just too many flaws. For example, Sullivan gets 0% of the Democratic vote against Begich for AK-SEN...I find that difficult to believe.

KS could just be trolling around a bit: It really depends how much support Browncrook gets among Republicans. If they vote like SUSA says, Davis wins. If they come home to him in the election, then he wins ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2014, 11:57:27 AM »

These polls are way too white, even for midterms.

Remember that the Excel-file with the crosstabs only shows the unweighted numbers for race etc., which means the weighted figures are likely less white than what is shown in there.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,179
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: July 29, 2014, 01:09:09 AM »

For better overview, the poll results of each state are now in the original post ...
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