The political experts have made a research
I'm guessing those are the same political experts who said Obama couldn't be re-elected because no incumbent had ever won with as high unemployment as in 2012...
FDR in 1936 and 1940 had higher unemployment then Obama in 2012 , and Reagan in 1984 had similar unemployment numbers then Obama in 2012
The unemployment rate matters in presidential elections, but not in the way "pundits" think. It's about the trend i.e. whether it's going up or down, not about whether it's objectively high or low.