New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever (user search)
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  New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever (search mode)
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Author Topic: New poll shows Asian-Americans are more supportive of Democratic Party than ever  (Read 3461 times)
Derpist
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Posts: 997
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E: -5.29, S: -2.96

« on: May 27, 2016, 09:46:58 PM »

Honestly not important. Asians are demographically moribund and not likely to become electorally relevant anytime soon.

Hispanic preferences might worry the GOP, but there's a lot of factors that are going to play into that (like assimilation) - and it's not clear that Trump will do worse than Romney.
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Derpist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 997
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -2.96

« Reply #1 on: May 27, 2016, 10:00:39 PM »

Honestly not important. Asians are demographically moribund and not likely to become electorally relevant anytime soon.

Hispanic preferences might worry the GOP, but there's a lot of factors that are going to play into that (like assimilation) - and it's not clear that Trump will do worse than Romney.

Ok

It's really hard to express how badly Romney did with Hispanic voters. The vast majority of the small minority of Hispanics who stuck around to vote for Mitt Romney strongly strongly detest illegal immigration.

Hell, Romney probably lost many Hispanics who hated illegal immigration, because Obama didn't go totally pro-illegal until his 2nd term.

Wouldn't be surprised if Trump did BETTER than Romney just by consolidating the minority of Hispanic voters who hate illegal immigration.
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Derpist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 997
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -2.96

« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2016, 11:32:37 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2016, 11:44:42 PM by Derpist »

It's interesting to me that what is rarely brought up in these threads is that with the exception of southern blacks in the black belt, most ethnic minorities are heavily concentrated in cities, where democratic machines are very efficient at mobilizing and reaching voters.

What if this Asian transformation is in reality a symptom of the growing urban-rural divide?

There are a lot of rural Hispanics. I don't think they vote that differently from suburban Hispanics.

Republicans who think the right candidate will get them Asian or Hispanic voters are over-optimistic. Most minorities vote Democrat for a simple reason: they hold socially and economically liberal beliefs. That can be changed, but not in the short-term.

Asians and Hispanics aren't going in the same direction though. 2nd-generation Hispanics (excluding Cubans) are typically more conservative than their parents as they assimilate. Meanwhile, Asian voters go in the opposite direction because they probably cannot be assimilated in the same way and start adopting views similar to those of the racial "other" in American society (blacks).

A GOP that gets 60% of non-hispanic whites, 35% of hispanics, 15% of Asians, and 15% of blacks is in a perfectly fine position.
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Derpist
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 997
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -2.96

« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2016, 11:51:01 PM »

Ha Ha no. Birth Rates are pretty even with each ethnicity now that the Hispanic(Mexican Baby Boom) died when the Housing Bubble went bust. 

Not entirely true. Asian birthrates are significantly lower than white/hispanic/black birthrates. Combine that with the fact that probably under half of those births have two Asian parents, and you can likely come to the conclusion that the "Asian vote" doesn't really matter that much.
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