Margins Spread • Georgia vs. South Carolina
• 2004: 0.48
• 2008: 3.78
• 2012: 2.67
Average 2.31
This SC poll does make sense considering what we have seen out of recent Georgia polls...
I thought the main argument as to why SC would not be competitive anytime soon had to do with a relatively inelastic electorate, where more liberal Northern Coastal transplants are offset by "country club" Republican types, frequently from other Southern states.
What % of the White vote would Hillary have to garner in SC to potentially flip the state?
Right now this poll indicates she is at 20% and a significant number of undecided White voters, that typically break Republican closer to election day (Although 2016 might be an exception).
Probably a bit over 30%. In Georgia it would only require 28-29%.
